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Search took 0.00 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: classhandicapper
Forum: General Discussion 10-13-2010, 06:23 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 13,523
Posted By classhandicapper
I typically only bet 2 horses when I think both...

I typically only bet 2 horses when I think both are more likely to win than the favorite at greater odds. There's also usually enough complexity to the race that I don't feel I can pick which one is...
Forum: General Discussion 10-13-2010, 09:48 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 13,523
Posted By classhandicapper
I'm talking about situations where I DON'T like...

I'm talking about situations where I DON'T like the favorite and feel confident I have a good overall investment. I just don't know how to size the bet.
Forum: General Discussion 10-12-2010, 11:36 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 13,523
Posted By classhandicapper
Bet Size when Betting more than 1 Horse

In general I try to keep my best size as flat as possible to avoid mistakes. Typically, I bet one horse to win. However, sometimes when I really dislike a favorite and don't feel that I have a firm...
Forum: General Discussion 09-05-2010, 03:33 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 7,972
Posted By classhandicapper
Thanks.

Thanks.
Forum: General Discussion 07-29-2010, 11:52 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 6,847
Posted By classhandicapper
I can't get it to work right. For some reason it...

I can't get it to work right. For some reason it isn't showing 2009.
Forum: General Discussion 07-29-2010, 11:43 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 7,972
Posted By classhandicapper
The interesting question to me is WHY 24 48 112...

The interesting question to me is WHY 24 48 112 wouldn't get the job done if the other horses are 112 1/5 type horses that are running 22 3/5 46 2/5 up front.

I could see saying the second group...
Forum: General Discussion 07-24-2010, 11:57 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 7,972
Posted By classhandicapper
Track and Field Pace

Has anyone explored human track and field pace issues to try to apply some of the principles to their understanding of horses?

Is it generally believed that the best way for humans to produce...
Forum: Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum 06-22-2010, 06:32 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 4,908
Posted By classhandicapper
If you are willing to flip the fractions, then it...

If you are willing to flip the fractions, then it appears you think 22 23 is equal to 23 22.

Part of me (the intuitive part) seems to want to believe that the horse that did a 22 on the turn had...
Forum: Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum 06-20-2010, 03:59 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 4,908
Posted By classhandicapper
Energy use and turns vs. straights

Is there anything in the Sartin methodology that tries to account for the fact that horses tend to run slower on turns?

Let's assume we have two horses:

A. Runs consecutive quarters of 22 23...
Forum: Selections 06-20-2010, 12:43 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 10,905
Posted By classhandicapper
Excellent analogy.

Excellent analogy.
Forum: Selections 06-20-2010, 09:53 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 10,905
Posted By classhandicapper
The most amazing part of Zenyatta is that when...

The most amazing part of Zenyatta is that when she hits her highest gear, she appears to be massively better than other very good horses. Even in this last race, the last 1/8th was in 11.61...
Forum: General Discussion 06-20-2010, 09:44 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 2,449
Posted By classhandicapper
I thought this was one of those days where we are...

I thought this was one of those days where we are going to have to wait to see how some of the horses come back to be certain about the track.

Even though most of the horses that won were fairly...
Forum: General Discussion 04-13-2010, 01:14 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 4,798
Posted By classhandicapper
I thought he was best that day also, but I wonder...

I thought he was best that day also, but I wonder with his style whether he'd tend to get drawn into a competitive pace like we often get in large field in the Derby.
Forum: Selections 09-04-2009, 03:42 PM
Replies: 82
Views: 19,316
Posted By classhandicapper
I wasn't expecting it to be on turf, but a small...

I wasn't expecting it to be on turf, but a small bet is better than no bet. :D
Forum: Selections 08-20-2009, 02:14 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 16,046
Posted By classhandicapper
TFM, The only one that thinks he knows...

TFM,

The only one that thinks he knows everything, is the only one looking at various types important of information, and has nothing to learn from others is you.

As I said to you privately,...
Forum: Selections 08-19-2009, 09:19 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 16,046
Posted By classhandicapper
Check out the chart and fractions for this race. ...

Check out the chart and fractions for this race.

http://www.drf.com/displayChart.do?filepath=Download\simulcastweekly\charts\0908\EMD2009081608.pdf

It certainly seems like this was a fast...
Forum: Selections 08-19-2009, 11:56 AM
Replies: 39
Views: 16,046
Posted By classhandicapper
The major strength of his software is that it...

The major strength of his software is that it allows you to see the race development from the chart way better than you can see it by just looking at it in its standard form. The extreme collapses...
Forum: Selections 08-19-2009, 11:39 AM
Replies: 39
Views: 16,046
Posted By classhandicapper
Deleted (dupe post)

Deleted (dupe post)
Forum: Selections 08-18-2009, 09:12 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 16,046
Posted By classhandicapper
You are mistaken in your assumption. As...

You are mistaken in your assumption.

As far as I know, your charting software is original (and excellent). However, many class and trip handicappers study charts (and replays) looking for horses...
Forum: Selections 08-18-2009, 11:08 AM
Replies: 39
Views: 16,046
Posted By classhandicapper
It has been well known for a long time that...

It has been well known for a long time that sloppy and some other off tracks produce margins between horses in excess of the average on fast tracks. The best figure handicappers have been trying to...
Forum: Selections 08-05-2009, 05:44 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 25,556
Posted By classhandicapper
Good catch on the potential bias. Worth watching...

Good catch on the potential bias. Worth watching going forward. That was quite a wicked pace by the #5, but he held on. More evidence of it. He looked like the fastest horse early going in, but I'm...
Forum: Selections 08-05-2009, 05:33 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 25,556
Posted By classhandicapper
Odd are changing in a way that is not helpful to...

Odd are changing in a way that is not helpful to me. I'm taking the 10 a very little and using with the 4. Cut way back.
Forum: Selections 08-05-2009, 05:25 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 25,556
Posted By classhandicapper
Yea, that's one of the major question marks,...

Yea, that's one of the major question marks, especially because there's other speed in the race. Generally I would pass on one like that, but I'll probably use him with the 10 because prior turf...
Forum: Selections 08-05-2009, 05:14 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 25,556
Posted By classhandicapper
I have two horses on my watch list in the 9th at...

I have two horses on my watch list in the 9th at SAR

1. Mesa Sunrise is coming out of fast fast race

2. Fatah Field made a nice wide move after being off a step slow

Now I just have to...
Forum: Selections 08-05-2009, 04:31 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 25,556
Posted By classhandicapper
TMF, I don't know all the components of...

TMF,

I don't know all the components of your "wipe out" horses, but I use a similar angle.

I have found that big winners that draw off through the stretch do better if you focus on the sub...
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