Wednesday -- August 5, 2009 - Page 4 - Pace and Cap

classhandicapper · 08-05-2009, 05:14 PM

I have two horses on my watch list in the 9th at SAR

1. Mesa Sunrise is coming out of fast fast race

2. Fatah Field made a nice wide move after being off a step slow

Now I just have to figure out what to do with them, if anything.

pktruckdriver · 08-05-2009, 05:17 PM

exbox

tfm · 08-05-2009, 05:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classhandicapper

I have two horses on my watch list in the 9th at SAR

1. Mesa Sunrise is coming out of fast fast race

His last race on dirt?

classhandicapper · 08-05-2009, 05:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tfm

His last race on dirt?

Yea, that's one of the major question marks, especially because there's other speed in the race. Generally I would pass on one like that, but I'll probably use him with the 10 because prior turf form OK.

tfm · 08-05-2009, 05:29 PM

That was also a wipe-out otherwise win for him. I don't think he has much heart but what scares me is that I believe, from what happened in the 7th, there's a speed/inside bias. I'm not playing this race. Looks like the 10 won't be much value either.

classhandicapper · 08-05-2009, 05:33 PM

Odd are changing in a way that is not helpful to me. I'm taking the 10 a very little and using with the 4. Cut way back.

pktruckdriver · 08-05-2009, 05:37 PM

the truckers special 10-4

you guys have no sense of humor, i've been told that for years , and they were right, now I'm trying to

patrick

classhandicapper · 08-05-2009, 05:44 PM

Good catch on the potential bias. Worth watching going forward. That was quite a wicked pace by the #5, but he held on. More evidence of it. He looked like the fastest horse early going in, but I'm always reluctant to use first time turfers unless I know something. The exacta was very good. Oh well, time to do some work now.

tfm · 08-05-2009, 05:56 PM

When the winner wired the field in the 7th, and they went 1 to 4 around the track, I knew something was up. She's not that game and I thought running on the lead was not her strong suit. You should watch the headon replay of the 1 in the 7th. Widest chasing, under the whip on the turn, behind horses in the stretch, carried out a bit very late, and was GAINING on them. This is a sure betback on a fair track.

tfm · 08-05-2009, 05:58 PM

SA R3 #8, Mendota Bay, win @ >= 6:1

one of my 'fighters'

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08-05-2009, 05:14 PM	#31
classhandicapper AlwNW3X Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 47	I have two horses on my watch list in the 9th at SAR 1. Mesa Sunrise is coming out of fast fast race 2. Fatah Field made a nice wide move after being off a step slow Now I just have to figure out what to do with them, if anything.

08-05-2009, 05:17 PM	#32
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	exbox

08-05-2009, 05:29 PM	#35
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	That was also a wipe-out otherwise win for him. I don't think he has much heart but what scares me is that I believe, from what happened in the 7th, there's a speed/inside bias. I'm not playing this race. Looks like the 10 won't be much value either.

08-05-2009, 05:33 PM	#36
classhandicapper AlwNW3X Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 47	Odd are changing in a way that is not helpful to me. I'm taking the 10 a very little and using with the 4. Cut way back.

08-05-2009, 05:37 PM	#37
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	the truckers special 10-4 you guys have no sense of humor, i've been told that for years , and they were right, now I'm trying to patrick

08-05-2009, 05:44 PM	#38
classhandicapper AlwNW3X Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 47	Good catch on the potential bias. Worth watching going forward. That was quite a wicked pace by the #5, but he held on. More evidence of it. He looked like the fastest horse early going in, but I'm always reluctant to use first time turfers unless I know something. The exacta was very good. Oh well, time to do some work now.

08-05-2009, 05:56 PM	#39
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	When the winner wired the field in the 7th, and they went 1 to 4 around the track, I knew something was up. She's not that game and I thought running on the lead was not her strong suit. You should watch the headon replay of the 1 in the 7th. Widest chasing, under the whip on the turn, behind horses in the stretch, carried out a bit very late, and was GAINING on them. This is a sure betback on a fair track.

08-05-2009, 05:58 PM	#40
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	SA R3 #8, Mendota Bay, win @ >= 6:1 one of my 'fighters'