Saturday Night Turfway Park Stakes - 3/4/17 - Race 6 - Pace and Cap

lostandwon · 03-04-2017, 06:44 PM

Richie P, thanks for posting the race.

I see lots of E. FPLR from sprinters 3 & 8 who both won up front @ 22.5 – 45
Other E are the 5 (not E last race), 4, 10, 11, see 13 getting caught up in the E

Looking OTE

Assume the sprinters will slow down a little, the 5 ran a route @ 22.9 – 46.3 2 races back and will use that as projected pace. The OTE’s are mostly routers who don’t show lines that fast.

Looking at position, I like the 9 who ran in 5th position or later in sprints and closed against fast pace but ran out of room. Looking for a faster pace today than last out when won in the route. Long shot at ml 20/1?…class issues for sure

The 12 running 6th-5th last out looks good…Again, MS 19…but it is Turfway

The 1 has some class and is certainly OTE. But last 3 races have been against 24’s which is slower than projected today & slower than lines of other horses…So I guess questions are how interchangeable are T and P lines and what about class…

Just saw 10 & 13 scr but I don’t think it changes my look

Maybe bet the 9 to place

Similar Threads
Thread	Thread Starter	Forum	Replies	Last Post
Woodbine notes Saturday 4/30	Bill V.	Pace Makes the Race / TPR Total Pace Ratings	66	05-21-2016 10:00 AM
Another paceless race - IMHO	Bill Lyster	Matchup Discussion	12	01-31-2014 12:55 PM
1/18/14 GG 8th	PeteC	Matchup Discussion	6	01-20-2014 01:18 PM
Saturday - 10/1 - Woodbine Turf Sprint Stakes - TM Race Class 103	RichieP	Matchup Discussion	18	10-02-2011 07:52 PM
MatchUP intuition is "Primary", MatchUP mathematics is "Corollary"/Secondary	VoodooFan	Matchup Discussion	41	02-27-2011 04:05 PM

03-04-2017, 06:44 PM	#7
lostandwon Grade 2 Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 97	Richie P, thanks for posting the race. I see lots of E. FPLR from sprinters 3 & 8 who both won up front @ 22.5 – 45 Other E are the 5 (not E last race), 4, 10, 11, see 13 getting caught up in the E Looking OTE Assume the sprinters will slow down a little, the 5 ran a route @ 22.9 – 46.3 2 races back and will use that as projected pace. The OTE’s are mostly routers who don’t show lines that fast. Looking at position, I like the 9 who ran in 5th position or later in sprints and closed against fast pace but ran out of room. Looking for a faster pace today than last out when won in the route. Long shot at ml 20/1?…class issues for sure The 12 running 6th-5th last out looks good…Again, MS 19…but it is Turfway The 1 has some class and is certainly OTE. But last 3 races have been against 24’s which is slower than projected today & slower than lines of other horses…So I guess questions are how interchangeable are T and P lines and what about class… Just saw 10 & 13 scr but I don’t think it changes my look Maybe bet the 9 to place