Hawthorne Saturday - A Melee at 6f - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 03-01-2012, 08:56 AM

Here is the 8th at Hawthorne this Saturday. It goes 6f on the dirt for nw3l and a 5k claiming tag.

Full field and an interesting mix of runners is the reason I posted this one up for you matchers!

I look forward to your thought processes (as do many others!

) and I really want to thank those who take the time to participate.

Best of luck/skill and good matching!

RichieP · 03-01-2012, 08:57 AM

...

RichieP · 03-01-2012, 08:58 AM

.,.

raceman5 · 03-02-2012, 08:45 AM

3-2

Bill Lyster · 03-02-2012, 12:45 PM

Races looks OTE with weak pace setters so I am going with the 3 on top and a couple of long shots for second, the 12 and 9

Capcondo · 03-03-2012, 12:31 AM

The track at HAW was very muddy today so I expect it will not be fast tomorrow.

Tandems:

2/18 1,2,3,6,7
2/19 8,9,13,14
12/23 (7th race) 1,3,12
12/23 (2nd race) 2,7,10
12/17 5,6
12/10 3,14

That's as far as I went. Not everyone uses tandems. I do. Looks like these guys are on a first name basis.

I'll come with my picks tomorrow.

Tim

Capcondo · 03-03-2012, 10:07 AM

Having posted several of the tandems, I am generally unimpressed with most of them. I think the only tandems of note are the 5 and 6 on 12/17 when they went 22 45.5 and the 12/10 tandem which went 22.3 45.8.

Race Analysis:

Earlies: 1,5,8,14. Only the 5 is a contender.
P Type: 11. 5th position vs. 22.2 5 back. Good effort on off track. My have been the pick last time at 7/1. Contender
S Type: 3. 4th position power move 4 back.

With 4 earlies, this race figures to be won sustained. My two contenders are the 3 and the 11. I think the 11 may get caught up in the pace.

My choice is the 3.

Enjoy all the great racing today.

Tim

PeteC · 03-03-2012, 03:17 PM

Scratch #5 and #14…

I looked at 1, 8 and 11 as the earlies. It was a tricky projecting the pace for this one. I looked at lines on all three of these guys and came up with 23.3 47.2 (in tenths).

I was prepared to go ote with the 2 and 3, but the scratches really soften the early scenario. I now see this race being won closer to the pace and I will go with the 11 and 8.

delmarscott2004 · 03-03-2012, 05:26 PM

RichieP

Melee at 6f ! that it is

8 line 2
13 line 2
10 line 3
7 line 4
Interesting combos for ex and tris

Perceptor and bl/bl screens

RichieP · 03-04-2012, 09:04 AM

well a tustle it was producing a big bomb. for me however the winner was the first horse thrown out so "no soup" on this one

thank you everyone for joining in!

03-01-2012, 08:57 AM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	... Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

03-01-2012, 08:58 AM	#3
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	.,. Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

03-02-2012, 08:45 AM	#4
raceman5 Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Largo Fl. Posts: 2,305	haw r8 3-2

03-03-2012, 12:31 AM	#6
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Tandems and track surfaces The track at HAW was very muddy today so I expect it will not be fast tomorrow. Tandems: 2/18 1,2,3,6,7 2/19 8,9,13,14 12/23 (7th race) 1,3,12 12/23 (2nd race) 2,7,10 12/17 5,6 12/10 3,14 That's as far as I went. Not everyone uses tandems. I do. Looks like these guys are on a first name basis. I'll come with my picks tomorrow. Tim

03-03-2012, 10:07 AM	#7
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	HAW Race #8 Having posted several of the tandems, I am generally unimpressed with most of them. I think the only tandems of note are the 5 and 6 on 12/17 when they went 22 45.5 and the 12/10 tandem which went 22.3 45.8. Race Analysis: Earlies: 1,5,8,14. Only the 5 is a contender. P Type: 11. 5th position vs. 22.2 5 back. Good effort on off track. My have been the pick last time at 7/1. Contender S Type: 3. 4th position power move 4 back. With 4 earlies, this race figures to be won sustained. My two contenders are the 3 and the 11. I think the 11 may get caught up in the pace. My choice is the 3. Enjoy all the great racing today. Tim

03-01-2012, 08:56 AM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Hawthorne Saturday - A Melee at 6f Here is the 8th at Hawthorne this Saturday. It goes 6f on the dirt for nw3l and a 5k claiming tag. Full field and an interesting mix of runners is the reason I posted this one up for you matchers! I look forward to your thought processes (as do many others! ) and I really want to thank those who take the time to participate. Best of luck/skill and good matching! Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

03-02-2012, 12:45 PM	#5
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	Races looks OTE with weak pace setters so I am going with the 3 on top and a couple of long shots for second, the 12 and 9

03-03-2012, 03:17 PM	#8
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Scratch #5 and #14… I looked at 1, 8 and 11 as the earlies. It was a tricky projecting the pace for this one. I looked at lines on all three of these guys and came up with 23.3 47.2 (in tenths). I was prepared to go ote with the 2 and 3, but the scratches really soften the early scenario. I now see this race being won closer to the pace and I will go with the 11 and 8.

03-03-2012, 05:26 PM	#9
delmarscott2004 delmarscott2004 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Orange County California Posts: 132	Melee at 6f RichieP Melee at 6f ! that it is 8 line 2 13 line 2 10 line 3 7 line 4 Interesting combos for ex and tris Perceptor and bl/bl screens

03-04-2012, 09:04 AM	#10
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	well a tustle it was producing a big bomb. for me however the winner was the first horse thrown out so "no soup" on this one thank you everyone for joining in! Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

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