Error? - Pace and Cap

mikesal57 · 09-09-2011, 08:47 AM

Ted or anyone else...

Maybe I'm getting a brain freeze here...but can anyone explain why the #5 didn't make it as one of the "early" horses

Ted Craven · 09-09-2011, 09:27 AM

The #7 is Dominant so it's the first Early horse. Then, sorting the remaining Earlies and Swing horse by High SR, the highest SR belongs to the #4 horse with a 92. So the #4 is the the other Early. The #5's SR is only 88.

Ted

mikesal57 · 09-09-2011, 09:54 AM

Dominant?

29 vs 21

the 5 had the higher low and the higher high

Well, I guess it is what it is....

missed a $37 winner

thxs Ted

Guess who wired the field?...yep...the 5

Ted Craven · 09-09-2011, 10:28 AM

Dominance is determined by the Dominance % in the NP Configuration settings - default 58%. If the Top Early horse has at least this percentage of the Top 2 ES points, it is Dominant and becomes the first Early. 29 points represents 58% of 50 points (shows 59% due to rounding issues), so by the definitions, the #7 is Dominant. If you had set the Dominance % to a higher value (e.g. the original 62%), the #7 would not have been Dominant and the Top 2 Hi SR would have been used as Earlies: the #4 and #5.

As it stood (not automatic, but requiring some manual review), at the odds, the #5 looks like a good candidate for the 'Price-only' contender concept.

Ted

09-09-2011, 08:47 AM	#1
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Error? Ted or anyone else... Maybe I'm getting a brain freeze here...but can anyone explain why the #5 didn't make it as one of the "early" horses Attached Images __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

09-09-2011, 09:27 AM	#2
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 9,238	The #7 is Dominant so it's the first Early horse. Then, sorting the remaining Earlies and Swing horse by High SR, the highest SR belongs to the #4 horse with a 92. So the #4 is the the other Early. The #5's SR is only 88. Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

09-09-2011, 09:54 AM	#3
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Dominant? 29 vs 21 the 5 had the higher low and the higher high Well, I guess it is what it is.... missed a $37 winner thxs Ted Guess who wired the field?...yep...the 5 __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

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09-09-2011, 10:28 AM	#4
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 9,238	Dominance is determined by the Dominance % in the NP Configuration settings - default 58%. If the Top Early horse has at least this percentage of the Top 2 ES points, it is Dominant and becomes the first Early. 29 points represents 58% of 50 points (shows 59% due to rounding issues), so by the definitions, the #7 is Dominant. If you had set the Dominance % to a higher value (e.g. the original 62%), the #7 would not have been Dominant and the Top 2 Hi SR would have been used as Earlies: the #4 and #5. As it stood (not automatic, but requiring some manual review), at the odds, the #5 looks like a good candidate for the 'Price-only' contender concept. Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™