Del Mar sunday July 25th - Pace and Cap

Bill Lyster · 07-25-2010, 02:29 PM

Race
1 3-4
2 5-6
3 5-6
5 1-9
6 5-3
7 4-1
8 7-9

Good luck to everyone today,

So Cal Al · 07-25-2010, 03:25 PM

Bill:
What am I missing in your race 2 selection of #5 ?

Al

Bill V. · 07-25-2010, 04:10 PM

Race 1. 2-3
Race 2. 2- 4
Race 3. 4- 5
Race 4.Pass
Race 5. 1- 9
Race 6.1 -5
Race 7. 5 -3
Race 8 .1 -9
Race 9 Pass

Bill Lyster · 07-25-2010, 04:12 PM

Al,

My thought was that the 5 was the only E in the race. I used line 6.

Line 1 24.2-48.1-113.0-144.9 - had open lead by 1
Line 6 24.5-48.7-113.2-143.5

2nd race off 65 day layoff; race level okay

The 3 is some kind of presser and honestly, the number of races probably raises a question mark. In line 2 the 3 was an EP against 50.2-115.3 and ran an early race in its last, fading to lose by ten while running in 5th at 2nd call.

I just think that the 5 might be totally clear and with a little bit of luck could run back to the 143.5 time - .3 slower at 1/4; .6 slow at half and .2 slower at 3/4. Arithmetically thats 5 fifths faster.

My contender array is #2-L4, #3-L1; #5, L6; #6-L4; #7-L3. all of them run 4th or 5th at second call which potentially leaves the 5 all alone. I will bet win/place in any case if odds hold and the 6 looks to run hard (and best of the rest) so I really like my exacta play for a price.

Good luck Al

So Cal Al · 07-25-2010, 05:10 PM

Bill:
Thanks for the in-depth look. I didn't see an early speed edge for #5, but he certainly is worth a play. Good skill to you.
Al

barb craven · 07-25-2010, 09:52 PM

Congratulations to both Bills on race#5 and to Bill V. on race#7.
I took a nice exacta on race #6 for myself .
Barb

Bill V. · 07-26-2010, 12:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V.

Race 1. 2-3
Race 2. 2- 4
Race 3. 4- 5
Race 4.Pass
Race 5. 1- 9
Race 6.1 -5
Race 7. 5 -3
Race 8 .1 -9
Race 9 Pass

Good results
race 1 loss
rsce 2 loss
race 3 loss
race 4 pass
race 5. won $21,00
race 6 loss
Race 7 won $26.60
race 8 loss
race 9. loss

Bet $28 won $47.60

I love this track

Bill V. · 07-26-2010, 12:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by barb craven

Congratulations to both Bills on race#5 and to Bill V. on race#7.
I took a nice exacta on race #6 for myself .
Barb

thanks Barb Del Mar and the methodology are being very good to me
nice work in race 6
to you

barb craven · 07-26-2010, 05:55 AM

You're very welcome Bill and thank you. Delmar has been very good to me this week too.

jms62 · 07-26-2010, 07:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V.

Good results
race 1 loss
rsce 2 loss
race 3 loss
race 4 pass
race 5. won $21,00
race 6 loss
Race 7 won $26.60
race 8 loss
race 9. loss

Bet $28 won $47.60

I love this track

Bill Nice hit!! Looking at the 2 races you hit they were not straight forward. Can you go through your thought process with us?

07-25-2010, 02:29 PM	#1
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,491	Del Mar sunday July 25th Race 1 3-4 2 5-6 3 5-6 5 1-9 6 5-3 7 4-1 8 7-9 Good luck to everyone today,

07-26-2010, 05:55 AM	#9
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,316	You're very welcome Bill and thank you. Delmar has been very good to me this week too. __________________ Listen...Learn...Stay Safe.

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07-25-2010, 03:25 PM	#2
So Cal Al So Cal Al Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: San Diego/ La Quinta Posts: 214	Bill: What am I missing in your race 2 selection of #5 ? Al

07-25-2010, 04:10 PM	#3
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Del Mar Sunday Race 1. 2-3 Race 2. 2- 4 Race 3. 4- 5 Race 4.Pass Race 5. 1- 9 Race 6.1 -5 Race 7. 5 -3 Race 8 .1 -9 Race 9 Pass

07-25-2010, 04:12 PM	#4
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,491	Al, My thought was that the 5 was the only E in the race. I used line 6. Line 1 24.2-48.1-113.0-144.9 - had open lead by 1 Line 6 24.5-48.7-113.2-143.5 2nd race off 65 day layoff; race level okay The 3 is some kind of presser and honestly, the number of races probably raises a question mark. In line 2 the 3 was an EP against 50.2-115.3 and ran an early race in its last, fading to lose by ten while running in 5th at 2nd call. I just think that the 5 might be totally clear and with a little bit of luck could run back to the 143.5 time - .3 slower at 1/4; .6 slow at half and .2 slower at 3/4. Arithmetically thats 5 fifths faster. My contender array is #2-L4, #3-L1; #5, L6; #6-L4; #7-L3. all of them run 4th or 5th at second call which potentially leaves the 5 all alone. I will bet win/place in any case if odds hold and the 6 looks to run hard (and best of the rest) so I really like my exacta play for a price. Good luck Al

07-25-2010, 05:10 PM	#5
So Cal Al So Cal Al Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: San Diego/ La Quinta Posts: 214	Bill: Thanks for the in-depth look. I didn't see an early speed edge for #5, but he certainly is worth a play. Good skill to you. Al

07-25-2010, 09:52 PM	#6
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,316	Congratulations to both Bills on race#5 and to Bill V. on race#7. I took a nice exacta on race #6 for myself . Barb __________________ Listen...Learn...Stay Safe.