AQU December 4

[clore1030]

First race.

Looks good for the 3 horse, but the price doesn't. Probably will split the bet with the 2 horse who is 5/1 at present.

[Tim Y]

Originally Posted by clore1030

First race.

Looks good for the 3 horse, but the price doesn't. Probably will split the bet with the 2 horse who is 5/1 at present.

We must read things very similarly.

E/l bias was not as strong as usual yesterday with sprints a tad lower than 10-12 + e/l

Woodbine, on the other hand must have been plowed up as it was a late presser paradise the last two sessions.....Also a lot of unqualified horses running their last races of their season,

[Bill V.]

Originally Posted by Tim Y

We must read things very similarly.

E/l bias was not as strong as usual yesterday with sprints a tad lower than 10-12 + e/l

Woodbine, on the other hand must have been plowed up as it was a late presser paradise the last two sessions.....Also a lot of unqualified horses running their last races of their season,

Hi Tim

good skill to you Tim does the fact that since yesterday was day 1
of the innner track all the lines were from other tracks
which might make the E/l slightly lower than what we should expect.

I think any kind of track model is best used in short time frames
I'm sure the early numbers will increase when we start using
inner AQU lines

Bill

[clore1030]

Originally Posted by Tim Y

We must read things very similarly.

E/l bias was not as strong as usual yesterday with sprints a tad lower than 10-12 + e/l

Woodbine, on the other hand must have been plowed up as it was a late presser paradise the last two sessions.....Also a lot of unqualified horses running their last races of their season,

I've picked up a lot from your posts and I read the Alums Digest emails every day.

But the voice spoke to me again, and told me to put it all on the 3, that even 3/2 was an overlay. 150% profit on one's investment is nothing to sneeze at. I thought the horse would be 6/5 or even money.

[Tim Y]

I can't believe it JAN RUSHTON has NO HAT ON TODAY at Aqueduct!

Then it looks like 3,5 in the next maiden contest with coming along very late

[Tim Y]

Originally Posted by Bill V.

I think any kind of track model is best used in short time frames
I'm sure the early numbers will increase when we start using
inner AQU lines

Day to day and no longer or you learn HARD object lessons like I did last Friday when I got lazy, didn't follow it at Woodbine and THEY ate me alive.....

It is akin to a boxer letting down his left.

[clore1030]

Originally Posted by Bill V.

Hi Tim

good skill to you Tim does the fact that since yesterday was day 1
of the innner track all the lines were from other tracks
which might make the E/l slightly lower than what we should expect.

I think any kind of track model is best used in short time frames
I'm sure the early numbers will increase when we start using
inner AQU lines

Bill

Another thing to look for is the "horses for courses" angle on the IDT. Many can step up in class against horses that they couldn't beat during the rest of the year and pay very nice prices.

At first it was a perplexing track for me when it opened, but once the patterns developed, it was almost a license to print money. It's a little tougher now since they run more varying distances. Originally it was just 6F and the next shortest distance was 1m70.

[Tim Y]

not looking as this was a second call maiden....SHIFT your focus on the inner is a little note I used to leave all around the desk

[clore1030]

I'm just going to make a few token bets for the rest of the day as I have a dental appointment. I had originally scheduled it for Tuesday, being a dark day, but they moved me to today. Phooey.

I'm just going for one horse each in the 5th and 7th races.

The 6 looks good to me in the fifth given its chances and the morning line.

The 2 in the seventh appears to be a live longshot.

[Tim Y]

lets try style over substance with the 3,5 in the third at Big A

Big favoriite has breaking problems