Kentucky Derby 2026

[pianoman]

Did anyone noticed that by Doc's recommendation of selecting pace lines (1st and /or 2nd) from particular graded stakes, the exacta came from the three highest L/EP?

[MJS6916]

Just using the RDSS auto pick-best perceptor last 3:

I have 6,1,12,11,19,15 in that order for L/ep;

87.8, 87.7, 87.6, 87.5, 87.3, 87.1 respectively.

The show horse #22 at 86.7 for a ranking of 9th

out of the 15 who could be measured on the Energy screen.

(I use the 100% variant adjustment)

Mike

[pianoman]

Hi Mike, This was Sartin's guidelines for ONLY the Kentucky Derby for horses that finished 1st and / or 2nd in certain graded stakes. The 11 and 12 horses don't qualify. The 12 did finished third by a head in its graded stakes. I threw him out. If I had included him, the outcome would still be same. The top three horses on L/EP. I selected the pace lines from those races, not auto pick.

pianoman

[MJS6916]

Originally Posted by pianoman

Hi Mike, This was Sartin's guidelines for ONLY the Kentucky Derby for horses that finished 1st and / or 2nd in certain graded stakes. The 11 and 12 horses don't qualify. The 12 did finished third by a head in its graded stakes. I threw him out. If I had included him, the outcome would still be same. The top three horses on L/EP. I selected the pace lines from those races, not auto pick.

pianoman

Hi pianoman,

I went to the 50% variant adjustment also.
I think I checked the 1st &/or 2nd requirement
in graded stakes.
#19 doesn't make it in the top 3 in this second run through
for me; and if I use his win on 1/17/2026 his L/ep is 0.4 worse.
So through the Sartin guideline you're showing,
even if I "cheat" and use line 1, #19 is no better than
4th in L/ep on my readouts no matter which variant adjustment.

Mike

[pianoman]

You are correct, Mike. Somehow I had a blank on the 19 horse and placed him second instead of seeing that he ran third. My bad. But I’m not return the money.

pianoman

[MJS6916]

Originally Posted by pianoman

You are correct, Mike. Somehow I had a blank on the 19 horse and placed him second instead of seeing that he ran third. My bad. But I’m not return the money.

pianoman

Congrats and definitely don't return the money.

Mike