A FWIW Survey.

[Lt1]

After reviewing how Mr Bill used the energy screen to toss horses I decided to conduct a quick 100 race survey to see how many of the factors race winners had. The track involved were GP,AQU,MVR,& PARX. Here are the results

Horses 5factors 4Factors 3Factors #2 Factors 1Factors 0Factors
100 19 30 12 17 14 8
AS you can see, as Bill pointed out, horses that don't have at least 1 factor only won 8 races. In fact horses with at least 2 factors won 78 of the 100 races. I have downgraded true contenders which don't have at least 2 factors pretty successfully. Like anything else nothing works 100% of the time so I do get burned once in awhile but I will live with it.
Tim

[57viking]

Tim, what is the 5th factor ?

[Lt1]

Jim the 5 factors on the energy screen are HID, FX,E/EP L/EP,TPP. I looked at how many of the 5 factors the winner had color in.
Tim

[Speed Figure]

Horses 5factors 4Factors 3Factors 2Factors 1Factors 0Factors
100       19      30       12       17       14       8

[Lt1]

Thanks Speed for cleaning it up. My bad.
Tim

[MJS6916]

Good stuff Tim.

I spend more time in the Energy screen than anywhere else in RDSS.


Mike

[Speed Figure]

Originally Posted by Lt1

Thanks Speed for cleaning it up. My bad.
Tim

All good Tim!

[57viking]

Same analysis for 322 races across multiple tracks ( PRX, FL , SAR, OP, FG)

# Qty Percent Cum Percent
5 113 35.1% 35.1%
4 52 16.1% 51.2%
3 62 19.3% 70.5%
2 39 12.1% 82.6%
1 32 9.9% 92.5%
0 24 7.5% 100.0%

[Lt1]

Thanks for the info Jim. I believe we have established that it is pretty safe to downgrade horses with 0 or only 1 factor and be right 8 out of 10 times. Remember that's for win only.
Tim

[dadams6357]

Tim
When you look for the LSP...do you disregard the energy part of program.
I have seen some big fish get away with no energy numbers.

Don