Friday Nights Race Of The Week - MNR - Race 9 - Pace and Cap

partsnut · 09-05-2006, 07:11 PM

Friday nights 9th Race at MNR would be my choice for this week.
It has a descent field of horses (9) and is at a mile and 70 yards.
Please see the Entries below. Good luck to all.

partsnut · 09-05-2006, 08:41 PM

Here's my interpretation of how I think the race will go.
My first choice would be # 9 "Dual Diagnosis" and I will bet her to win.
It seems to be the best choice from my match-up analysis.
which I have posted below.
If I had to pick a second horse it would probably be # 5 "Tall Wakin Cat",
but I can say without hesitation that I am not a proponent of 2 horse
win betting.
My Exactas for this race if I played them and I don't would be as follows:
9 with 5, 6, 8 and 5 with 6, 8, 9.

partsnut · 09-06-2006, 11:09 AM

CORRECTION:
I noticed a mistake in my Match-Up spread sheet and did not have time to post a corrected one this morning.
So please disregard the one I have posted and I will re-post the the corrected spread sheet this evening along with a track profile for over 600 races of this type going back to January 2002.
I am sorry if I've misled anyone.

partsnut · 09-06-2006, 06:44 PM

I've attached the track profile for the race in question.
It covers over 600 races from January 2002 of races of this type. distance and surface.
I've also corrected my Match-Up spreadsheet and have also attached it. My selections remain the same.

dugoutgold · 09-07-2006, 02:07 AM

ok my first pick with aodds98 with I might add no model etc. Soooo ill take a stab here with a one horse bet. Tall Walin cat who at least from the morn line seens to be the chalk. Owns the sc, the ts the tv and the Ls seems to have an adavantage here.

jms62 · 09-08-2006, 07:05 AM

5 and 8

15 Win 5
10 Win 8

gl45 · 09-08-2006, 11:24 AM

Intersting race.
I don't see any horse take the lead in this race except #5. The only question is: can #5 make 4 win in a row? Is a fresh horse with no recent workout.
If #1 or #2 can take the lead in a fast 1st. and 2nd. calls and force #5 to press, I think #5 will use too much energy to finish the race. If this the case #6 will win the race, followed by #8 #9.
I will look for value.
Pino

cprescigno · 09-08-2006, 11:34 AM

To me it looks like the 5 takes this one. The only way he doesn't is if the first and second fraction goes 23 and 47. That might throw him off a bit but I don't think the fractions go that fast here. the 5 should set the pace.
Win bet 5 $20

Charlie

alydar_ David · 09-08-2006, 04:22 PM

Coumpound Ratings

alydar_ David · 09-08-2006, 04:24 PM

Fractions

09-06-2006, 11:09 AM	#3
partsnut BetMix User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 2,433	Correction CORRECTION: I noticed a mistake in my Match-Up spread sheet and did not have time to post a corrected one this morning. So please disregard the one I have posted and I will re-post the the corrected spread sheet this evening along with a track profile for over 600 races of this type going back to January 2002. I am sorry if I've misled anyone.

09-06-2006, 06:44 PM	#4
partsnut BetMix User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 2,433	I've attached the track profile for the race in question. It covers over 600 races from January 2002 of races of this type. distance and surface. I've also corrected my Match-Up spreadsheet and have also attached it. My selections remain the same. Last edited by partsnut; 10-27-2006 at 03:34 PM.

09-08-2006, 04:24 PM	#10
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	Fractions Attached Images

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09-05-2006, 07:11 PM	#1
partsnut BetMix User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 2,433	Friday Nights Race Of The Week - MNR - Race 9 Friday nights 9th Race at MNR would be my choice for this week. It has a descent field of horses (9) and is at a mile and 70 yards. Please see the Entries below. Good luck to all. Last edited by partsnut; 10-27-2006 at 03:34 PM.

09-05-2006, 08:41 PM	#2
partsnut BetMix User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 2,433	Here's my interpretation of how I think the race will go. My first choice would be # 9 "Dual Diagnosis" and I will bet her to win. It seems to be the best choice from my match-up analysis. which I have posted below. If I had to pick a second horse it would probably be # 5 "Tall Wakin Cat", but I can say without hesitation that I am not a proponent of 2 horse win betting. My Exactas for this race if I played them and I don't would be as follows: 9 with 5, 6, 8 and 5 with 6, 8, 9. Last edited by partsnut; 10-27-2006 at 03:34 PM.

09-07-2006, 02:07 AM	#5
dugoutgold Grade 1 Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 206	mnr race 9 ok my first pick with aodds98 with I might add no model etc. Soooo ill take a stab here with a one horse bet. Tall Walin cat who at least from the morn line seens to be the chalk. Owns the sc, the ts the tv and the Ls seems to have an adavantage here.

09-08-2006, 07:05 AM	#6
jms62 Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 798	5 and 8 15 Win 5 10 Win 8

09-08-2006, 11:24 AM	#7
gl45 Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 878	Intersting race. I don't see any horse take the lead in this race except #5. The only question is: can #5 make 4 win in a row? Is a fresh horse with no recent workout. If #1 or #2 can take the lead in a fast 1st. and 2nd. calls and force #5 to press, I think #5 will use too much energy to finish the race. If this the case #6 will win the race, followed by #8 #9. I will look for value. Pino

09-08-2006, 11:34 AM	#8
cprescigno Spec Rookie Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: NYC Posts: 258	To me it looks like the 5 takes this one. The only way he doesn't is if the first and second fraction goes 23 and 47. That might throw him off a bit but I don't think the fractions go that fast here. the 5 should set the pace. Win bet 5 $20 Charlie

09-08-2006, 04:22 PM	#9
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	Coumpound Ratings Attached Images