SAR for Thurs 8/16/18

[rdiam]

SAR r1 (1:00): 7 runners, 2 FTS

3 -- coming from msw, first time clm, 3rd after layoff, jock switch to Jose Ortiz, gelded since last race, projects as winner if can run back to July 6 race

2 -- stretches out by 1f, coming from msw, first time clm, first after 252 day layoff, very positive jock switch to Irad Ortiz, gelded since last race, too slow for this group => toss

1 -- stretches out by 0.5f, third race lifetime, win contender

4 -- turf to dirt, blinkers ON, route to sprint, lowest clm price, 3rd after layoff, win contender

6 -- blinkers on, route to sprint, 3rd race lifetime, coming from msw, first time clm, first after 95 day layoff, positive jock switch to Santana, gelded since last race, too slow for this group ITM contender

5 -- FTS, avg jock, below avg trainer

1A -- FTS, avg jock and trainer

Strategy: win contenders are 3,1,4, bet any to win at 3-1 or better (4), hedge with ex 3,1 on top