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08-13-2018, 07:38 AM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Arlington Million
Hi FTL
There seem to be some questions about this race. I was hoping you can work the race and give us your opinion I realize its a turf race with quite a few Euro's Not a great race for you. I would appreciate if you could run through the pacelines The PP's are in this thread http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11761 Here are my thoughts H1 No lines in North America H2 Spring Quality Scratch H3 Almanaar LIne 1 is a Hi class OC win. Same distance Belmont Turf H4 Divisidero Scratch H5 Century Dream Euro H6 Catcho En Die No line 20/1 H7 Twenty Four Seven No Line 30/1 H8 Money Multiplier Eith Line 1 or 2 Both are graded Stakes win lines One is 11 furlongs line 2 is 9 furlongs. H9 Deauville Euro H10 Robert Bruce Line 1 is a trouble line "bumped" He did make two moves and finished 6th but beaten by less than 2 lengths Line 1 Is a plus line but 98 days ago. It was his first race in North America H11 Oscar Performance Line 1 is a plus grade 3 win My lines My Energy Program is not working on this laptop I can only use KGEN My look My lines I eliminated horse 8 line 1 because line 2 rates better and a more comparable total energy I am left with only 4 horses so I can go right to the Preplays I still am getting the warning to use the 2 adjust Here is exdc " Normal" Here is SP Favors late energy I would use this screen in a high-class turf race Thoromation with the 2 adjust is inconclusive everybody ends up tied except for horse 11 Last edited by Bill V.; 08-13-2018 at 07:53 AM. |
08-13-2018, 01:38 PM | #2 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,292
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Quote:
Sure. No problem. Like you said, this is not a race I would look at for the reasons you mentioned among others. As the old saying goes, “I wouldn’t touch it it with a ten foot pole”. Anyway, here are my horses/lines. #1 – NO LINE. ML=30/1 and EURO with no N American lines #2 – SCR #3 – Last line. A “+” race. First race back after 482 layoff in an Optional Claimer. Hardly a Grade 1 race. #4 – SCR #5 – NO LINE. EURO horse with no N American lines #6 – NO LINE. ML=20/1 #7 – NO LINE. ML=30/1 #8 – Line 2. A “+” race. Last line distance is 11f. #9 – NO LINE. No recent N American lines. #10 – NO LINE. Last race is a “0” line and only race in the last 90 days. If the last race was a “trouble line” that would take me beyond 90 days to go to line 2. #11 – Last line. It is a “+” race.
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"It's suppose to be hard. If it was easy, everybody would do it." Jimmy Dugan, A League of Their Own |
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08-13-2018, 09:51 PM | #3 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Thank You
Thanks FTL
I was not sure about the 8 I ended up using the second line I forgave the last line for horse 10 The comment says "bumped between 4 wide" I can't tell from the TPR numbers because of the marathon distance how much the bump effected him But since he had a perfect record up until the last race I excused the 10 line 1 |
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