M4$16/2 Oct 29-mowens33 - Pace and Cap

The Pook · 10-24-2016, 08:48 AM

Mike

mowens33 · 10-28-2016, 06:28 PM

Belmont 9

The Pook · 10-29-2016, 12:38 PM

BEL9

From a 22.2/45 set by the three early horses 1,3 and 10, I see OTE. The most competent of those for me are 2,4,6,8. Closest to the pace of those are 2,8 just edging out 6 which ran well against the FPLR but may be too far back.

2,8 WIN
Pook

cigar · 10-29-2016, 02:35 PM

Pace: 22.7 - 45.3
OTE
Contends: 2-4-6-9-13

1 - set pace - out
2 - Chad Brown lesser know - have more upside - Contender
3 - move up in class - out
4 - will have too much to make up in the stretch - Contender - out
5 - not in form - out
6 - not sure if he likes fast track - mud move up - out
7 - Scratch
8 - can't keep up with pace - out
9 - Longshot - can keep up with todays pace - contender
10 - up in class - out
11 - cannot keep up - out
12 - cannot keep up - out
13 - Wide post have too much to over come - contender - out

Win: 2-9
Place: 9

mowens33 · 10-29-2016, 04:56 PM

22.2--45.4
Contenders 2-4-6-8-13
OTE
My picks: 4 and 6

gandalf380 · 10-29-2016, 05:04 PM

the speed horses are on the inside and the closers towards the outside. I think the 2 will try to set it up for his stablemate. therefore I am looking for a very fast pace and the race to go OTE. I think the best closers are 6 and 8.

#6 Stallwalkin Dude
#8 Ami's Flatter
both to win.

Capcondo · 10-29-2016, 05:08 PM

There's not a lot of speed in this race. The 1 and possibly the 3 will run early in something like 22.3 45.0. I don't trust routing speed in a sprint. I don't think either early horse can win. I'm looking OTE for a horse that can run well against that kind of a pace and can execute strong internal fractions. I arrive on the 8.

In his last he was in an 11.3 between the half and 5f not losing any ground. Then, 4 back against a 22.3 and 24.2, he made a real power move.

The 8 is my choice to win the race.

mick · 10-29-2016, 05:09 PM

To paraphrase Clark Gable, "Frankly, my dear, I don't know."

My play, however, is #4 to Win and Place.

I see the contenders as #2, #4, #6 and #8. Lots of early, so I see OTE. My pick is chalk and has to move forward.

mick

mick · 10-29-2016, 05:18 PM

6-2-4

Congratulations, Mike and Charlie.

cigar pegged my #4 perfectly - too much ground to make up.

mick

mowens33 · 10-29-2016, 10:07 PM

Results

10-24-2016, 08:48 AM	#1
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,796	M4$16/2 Oct 29-mowens33 Mike Attached Images

10-29-2016, 05:08 PM	#7
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	There's not a lot of speed in this race. The 1 and possibly the 3 will run early in something like 22.3 45.0. I don't trust routing speed in a sprint. I don't think either early horse can win. I'm looking OTE for a horse that can run well against that kind of a pace and can execute strong internal fractions. I arrive on the 8. In his last he was in an 11.3 between the half and 5f not losing any ground. Then, 4 back against a 22.3 and 24.2, he made a real power move. The 8 is my choice to win the race. __________________ Tim Don't look back. You're not going that way.

10-29-2016, 05:18 PM	#9
mick Abiding Student Join Date: May 2016 Location: Nashville/Whitefish Posts: 714	6-2-4 Congratulations, Mike and Charlie. cigar pegged my #4 perfectly - too much ground to make up. mick __________________ mick Illustrated Glossary

10-29-2016, 10:07 PM	#10
mowens33 Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA Posts: 1,065	Results Attached Images

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10-29-2016, 12:38 PM	#3
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,796	BEL9 From a 22.2/45 set by the three early horses 1,3 and 10, I see OTE. The most competent of those for me are 2,4,6,8. Closest to the pace of those are 2,8 just edging out 6 which ran well against the FPLR but may be too far back. 2,8 WIN Pook

10-29-2016, 02:35 PM	#4
cigar 3-3-1 - 3-3-2 Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 402	Bel R9 Pace: 22.7 - 45.3 OTE Contends: 2-4-6-9-13 1 - set pace - out 2 - Chad Brown lesser know - have more upside - Contender 3 - move up in class - out 4 - will have too much to make up in the stretch - Contender - out 5 - not in form - out 6 - not sure if he likes fast track - mud move up - out 7 - Scratch 8 - can't keep up with pace - out 9 - Longshot - can keep up with todays pace - contender 10 - up in class - out 11 - cannot keep up - out 12 - cannot keep up - out 13 - Wide post have too much to over come - contender - out Win: 2-9 Place: 9

10-29-2016, 04:56 PM	#5
mowens33 Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA Posts: 1,065	22.2--45.4 Contenders 2-4-6-8-13 OTE My picks: 4 and 6

10-29-2016, 05:04 PM	#6
gandalf380 Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: central islip ny Posts: 1,196	the speed horses are on the inside and the closers towards the outside. I think the 2 will try to set it up for his stablemate. therefore I am looking for a very fast pace and the race to go OTE. I think the best closers are 6 and 8. #6 Stallwalkin Dude #8 Ami's Flatter both to win. __________________ Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com

10-29-2016, 05:09 PM	#8
mick Abiding Student Join Date: May 2016 Location: Nashville/Whitefish Posts: 714	To paraphrase Clark Gable, "Frankly, my dear, I don't know." My play, however, is #4 to Win and Place. I see the contenders as #2, #4, #6 and #8. Lots of early, so I see OTE. My pick is chalk and has to move forward. mick __________________ mick Illustrated Glossary Last edited by mick; 10-29-2016 at 05:20 PM.