FairGrounds Race of the week mess up

[Houndog]

The 0.00 MUV horse is AMVOO (American Man) which also has corollary support in the other rankings. American Man is the Paragon A horse and Bright Hall is the Paragon B horse. The variegate says sustained so if you are a 1 horse bettor you may be inclined to play Bright Hall. The variegate predictor although accurate is not always correct. Try when you can to get corollary support. If you are a 2 horse bettor no problem, you have the winner.

[Houndog]

The final screen. This seems alot easier after the race is won. Richie had the winner, and no doubt Jim Bradshaw would have had the winner also.

[Houndog]

This chart is in the revised format that shows beaten lengths as you would see them in the horses's pps. No need to add the lengths as you would the traditional chart. I would like to thank Richie for his input on this race. He was a great help.

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by Houndog

2 pacelines for the winner #8 American Man. The last line and the "VOODOO LINE".

Lmao! Dog I am wondering "who the hell is "Amvoo"? I don't see him in the race?"

great stuff. Really

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by Houndog

You might wonder why I am devoting so much time on a race in which the winner paid $8.00. First of all I played the favorite Bright Hall to win and he finished a badly beaten 3rd. Secondly, this illustrates how sensitive Energy is to proper paceline selection. I selected Bright Hall's 4th line back which is more indicative of his typical running style. This makes the race much closer, but these are the calls we must make. If you are a 2 horse bettor you get the winner and the 3rd horse. If you are a one horse bettor it is more problematic. The winner American Man is 3-1 and Bright Hall is 1.80-1.

With the revised pacelines AMVOO (I entered 2 lines for this horse). If you were not following this post from the beginning Richie suggested I try entering a paceline for this horse comprised of American's Man 1st call timing at MNR 7 races back (46.4) and the 2nd and final call of his last race, still using the BL's of the MNR race 1.5-0-0-0. This is an advanced Match-Up procedure that goes beyond the 5 step approach. I am not trying to teach this advanced procedure, but this is something Richie had me try using Energy. What I am really trying to show is how Energy is very dependent on proper contender and paceline selection. (As is the Match-Up).

Anyhow now with the UXR screen we see that one of the pacelines for American Man shows him to be the 0.00 EMUV horse and second in UXR. (Lower numbers are better.) The variegate says sustained.

Excellent Mike. Excellent!

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by Houndog

The 0.00 MUV horse is AMVOO (American Man) which also has corollary support in the other rankings. American Man is the Paragon A horse and Bright Hall is the Paragon B horse. The variegate says sustained so if you are a 1 horse bettor you may be inclined to play Bright Hall. The variegate predictor although accurate is not always correct. Try when you can to get corollary support. If you are a 2 horse bettor no problem, you have the winner.

HERE is the corrolary support you need Mike to wager "Amvoo". When I spoke with the Hat months ago he told me that if we put the CORRECT lines in( Using Energy!) for the true contenders look for the winner to have:

1) Strong RAW total energy - top 2 or 3 at most
2) STRONG FX
He said in the limited testing of softwares he did for Howard he could find the winner using FX because it USED FIRST FRACTION in the computation ok?

Now ADD on top of that "Amvoo" is the 0.00 guy WITH support and this guy now is VERY strong contender. Certainly a LOCK with a 2 horse bettor.

Hey Mike CONSIDER trying this "Virtual line" creation on future races.

1) Find the POWER LINE for the horse.
2) Consider other lines for POSITIONING aspects of THAT line.
3) Meld the 2 lines together like you did

Then when you get a nice winner that seems impossible for others to get you can tell em " Amvoo" baby!!

The Hat does "Amvoo" REGULARLY. We can use it too albeit carefully.

Thanx for taking the time to lay all those shots out. Very cool

Richie