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#29 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 697
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Here is my humble opinion:
This is not part of the mainstream Sartin Methodology... I am quite CERTAIN that Jim Bradshaw was well aware to dissiminate these type of form cycle of young developing horses... Rdss provides all the info necessary to make this evaluation. But I caution that it is truly an art of interpretation. One is not always right and a horses like this do move up into a hot pace. First race and third paceline, this horse really worked out 4 furlongs only and galloped out within the race. Folks, this fact does happen and often. This is why I state that it is an art of interpretation. 2nd paceline back, the horse worked on early speed as evidenced by the E/L graph. Last paceline, the horse worked on its closing kick as evidenced by the change of energy expenditure on the E/L graph...Yes this involves more in depth analysis of each pacelines and interpretation of the form cycle and to forecast the manner that the trainer brought his horse up to today's race and matchup. If you focus on numbers, the horse pairs two similar efforts or numbers, so today it might move up five lengths. This is the edge of Thorograph interpretors. Bradshaw would have concluded this scenario and paste the early fractions of the early expenditure race with the closing fractions of the last paceline. If you think that this school of thought is hogwash, that is your perogative. Good skills... |
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