Santa Anita 3-09-2013 Sat. Race 3

[Capcondo]

The 1 should get the lead. He runs terrible 3rd fractions. A decent sustained horse should be able to catch him. OUT.

The 2's last race off the L/O is not good. Should be chasing the 1. I think the race will run sustained. OUT.

The 3 is a deep closer with bad positions at the stretch call. OUT.

The 4 will be close enough and fought at the first call in his last. Can handle fast sprint paces. Contender.

The 5 is late and way behind at the stretch call. Couldn't beat the 1 when the 3rd fraction went 34.2. OUT.

The 6 sat fourth in at first call in last. Has won 2 in a row which may be a negative. Contender.

The 7 couldn't beat the 1 against the 34.2 final fraction. Way behind at the stretch call. OUT.

It's between the 4 and the 6. The 4 should be closer and is my choice.


Tim