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November Contest Enter your selections and SCREEN SHOTS and explanations here. Please start a new Thread with your User Name as Title |
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11-10-2012, 05:06 PM | #21 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 52
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TPJ - PPs
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11-11-2012, 01:45 PM | #22 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 52
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Aqueduct
Race 4 -
$70 win on 6 $30 win on 10 |
11-11-2012, 01:48 PM | #23 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 52
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Results from BHP
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11-11-2012, 03:39 PM | #24 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 52
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Aqueduct
Race 8 -
$60 to win 3 $40 to win 9 |
11-11-2012, 03:42 PM | #25 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 52
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Aqueduct Race 4 Results
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11-11-2012, 06:28 PM | #26 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 52
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Aqueduct Race 8 Results
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11-11-2012, 06:30 PM | #27 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 52
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Bhp
Race 7 -
$70 to win 6 $30 to win 9 |
11-12-2012, 11:45 AM | #28 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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two tough loses
Hi 5chalky5
Those are two tough loses Aqu 8 and BHP 7 both races you had the winner ranked 2nd The 7 at BHP went wire to wire The 11 in race 8 at aqu is a close call Your top 3 BLBL were 3 11 9 8 it came in 11 9 3 8 making the right decision is hard at times I can see a few things Doc would point out The 3 is an E or EP runner check the segments screen and note the 3's position at the F1 and F2 The 11 has 3 turf wins you used a + turf paceline It has 5 plus turf races The 9 has no turf wins and you used a (+) line 3 back No turf plus races Both the 9 and 11 are 1-2 on LP and they are 2-3 on HE and 1-2 on CP all good factors for turf races Some questions you could ask in regards to the 3 Are there any other early horses in the race ? yes horse 4 there also are some sprinters. Will they force the 3 to use too much energy early? In turf races sometimes you have dirt horses who are trying the turf for the first time. They may run too fast too early and try to steal the race. They usually don't but they still influence the early pressure of the race Anyway your line selection was good I would have just used line 2 for horse 8 3- line 1 EP + 11- line 1 Sus + 9 - line 3 Sus (+) 8- line 3 Sus + line 2 is a + 6- line 2 sus (+) a non contender |
11-12-2012, 11:59 AM | #29 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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it turns out
It turns out the 4 was scratched
but the 8 ran with the 3 early the 11 and 9 came home late Look at the segments screen it had the race just about right in F1 and F2 The 3 and 8 are 1-2 in F1 The 8 looks like it fades in F2 but look at the 0.0 next horse at the SC its 3 and 8 Throw out the 6 its a non contender The 3 wins the 3rd fraction+ TS but in reality the proven turf winner # 11 prevails |
11-12-2012, 12:39 PM | #30 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 52
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Bill V
Bill -
Thanks for taking the time to go over the race. I can see what you are saying and it helps. I can take away the fact that I am getting winners in my top 3 tiers and with help like this I will make better decisions in the future. I was not very happy when the 11 beat me at 8.80-1. I was looking into purchasing a results chart subscription and hopefully you can help me with this. I am assuming that you can download the chart information into an Excel spreadsheet and you will be able to create track profiles from the results charts. If you do this, do you have an example I could see? Kyle |
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