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Old 05-13-2012, 08:47 AM   #4
SilentRun
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Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lasix1 View Post
Dear All,

This thread is about a year old, but I couldn't find a follow-up and am hoping I can get an answer without bothering Ted with a PM (not that he would mind!)

One of the automatic strategies in RDSS 2.0 Beta 2.5 is called "Population Sample 2nd Call". Does anyone know how this is defined, calculated and/or how effective it is? I've experimented with it a bit and it seems to throw very different pace lines from the more common variations such as "Best Preceptor", Best B/L-B/L Last Three, or Best VDC, Last Three. My very short and limited scan of it shows that it doesn’t pick winners as often, but selects live place and show horses very well. I might be dreaming about this, but before I run a longer test, I'd like to have some input from the Board.

Many thanks for your help! If it has been discussed elsewhere and I missed it I apologize in advance.
Hello Lasix1,

The last time I looked the "Population Sample 2nd Call" is defined in the release notes and it is calculated based on the 2nd call POH ADJUSTED velocity. The program scans the entire PP's of a horse and extracts the line with the best 2nd call POH. You have the option of doing it by an individual horse or all the horses. I tried a few races and then adjusted the results based on my best paceline selections. The few races I did had one or more of the horses ITM as WPS. So I am seeing similiar results on limited data.

In order to determine the profitability potential is to conduct your own study over as many races as you can eat....in the hundreds at the minimum. So you have to do the grunt work set up your spreadsheets and dig in.

Ernie
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