Question on when to NOT use last line - Pace and Cap

sq764 · 12-24-2011, 12:16 PM

So what is the opinion on NOT using the last line? I'll give 2 scenarios and would be curious as to some opinions from the veterans:

Scenario 1: Horse's last 3 or 4 races are routes and this is a sprint, but the speed ratings are in line with his prior sprints.. Would you use the last line? the last sprint line?

Scenario 2: Horse's last 4 races are SR of 82, 79, 81 and last race is 64.. Would you use the 64? Consider maybe he's tailing off? Or would you revert to 2 back because that is more representative?

12-24-2011, 12:16 PM	#1
sq764 AlwNW3X Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 45	Question on when to NOT use last line So what is the opinion on NOT using the last line? I'll give 2 scenarios and would be curious as to some opinions from the veterans: Scenario 1: Horse's last 3 or 4 races are routes and this is a sprint, but the speed ratings are in line with his prior sprints.. Would you use the last line? the last sprint line? Scenario 2: Horse's last 4 races are SR of 82, 79, 81 and last race is 64.. Would you use the 64? Consider maybe he's tailing off? Or would you revert to 2 back because that is more representative?

Similar Threads
Thread	Thread Starter	Forum	Replies	Last Post
Pacelines...Again!	JeffH	General Discussion	8	04-24-2012 10:32 AM
Churchill Grade 1- Friday 11/25 - TM 113 Race Class	RichieP	Matchup Discussion	19	11-26-2011 04:22 PM
Major vs. Minor tracks	Bill P	General Discussion	109	04-05-2010 03:23 PM
The Modern Sartin Methodology...	Charlie D	RDSS	29	08-31-2008 02:12 PM
Paceline selection	AAcoolguy	General Discussion	44	07-27-2008 08:42 AM