Spa 7/31 Sunday on the Turf Race #6 - Page 2 - Pace and Cap

alydar_ David · 07-31-2011, 01:05 PM

I stink at the matchup so take that into consideration.

E
#1 #2

EP
#8 #10

P
#9

SP
#3 thru #7

#2 is the pacesetter 23 2/5 47 4/5

I think the value is #10 Middle Of The Nite. That's a win & place bet for me.

I'll also key #10 with 2-5-7 for exotics.

Good luck, everyone. Or, as Bill would say, "Good skill."

SilentRun · 07-31-2011, 02:14 PM

My take on this is :

2 - Bishop of Nola EE=1/VDC=3
3 - Versailles RDSS Contender. I like his late POR move
6 - TwoJohns LL=1/ VDC=2

Choosing amounst NewPace and RDSS is like going to a chinese restaurant 2 from Column A and 1 from Column B.

Ernie

Capcondo · 07-31-2011, 02:45 PM

Twinspires indicates this race is going to be run at 1 1/8 miles on the turf with the 1A scratched.

Capcondo · 07-31-2011, 02:58 PM

With the 1A scratched, there's less early speed; but there is still plenty of it. The 2, 8, and 10 are all early and I'm tossing them. I have the 3 and 5 as being too late positionally and they are tossed. This leaves me with the
4, 6, 7, and 9. The 4 looks like he may get caught up too early leaving the
6, 7, and 9. At Saratoga in the last few days on the turf, several winners have been the 3rd fraction horse that survived the matchup. This leaves me with the 6 who had a 28.4 at a 1 1/16 miles and the 7 who ran a 29.3 in his last. The 6 also had some slower 3rd fractions. Two back, the 7 bobbled at the break.

My choice is the 7.

BTW, thanks for all the participation. I was surprised since there hasn't been a race in a month or so.

I'll post the chart tonight.

Good luck,

Tim

SilentRun · 07-31-2011, 04:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SilentRun

My take on this is :

2 - Bishop of Nola EE=1/VDC=3
3 - Versailles RDSS Contender. I like his late POR move
6 - TwoJohns LL=1/ VDC=2

Ernie

Result 4 wins @ 3/2 and 6 places.

I bet the 6 horse as the best value but at the last minute I keyed the 4 to cover.

pktruckdriver · 07-31-2011, 06:37 PM

4 wins the race by a nose to the 6 and the 7 got third after he got loose

Good capping Mike

patrick

Capcondo · 07-31-2011, 08:15 PM

Here's the chart.

Name: ScreenHunter_03 Jul. 31 17.05.gif
Views: 413
Size: 87.5 KB

Congrats to Silent Run on the superfecta. I knew someone had to have it. The group was all over the 6, 7, and 2.

I was elated by the interest in the race both by matching and the computer programs.

Worthy of note is the first four horses under the wire had some trip troubles.

I was elated by the interest in the race and will try to post another later in the week or next weekend.

Tim

mikesal57 · 07-31-2011, 08:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pktruckdriver

4 wins the race by a nose to the 6 and the 7 got third after he got loose

Good capping Mike

patrick

Thxs Pat ...would have been nicer if the nose was the other way

partsnut · 08-01-2011, 11:49 AM

mikesal57
Grade 1

Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,231

Whats strange here is that the entry has a speedy half and a horse that ran terribly once on the turf...
If in case the 1 goes out with the 2 ...
I'm left with the 3-4-6....leaning more to the 6

gl
mike
----------------------------------------------------------
Mike, nice.

You're the man.

mikesal57 · 08-01-2011, 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by partsnut

mikesal57
Grade 1

Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,231

Whats strange here is that the entry has a speedy half and a horse that ran terribly once on the turf...
If in case the 1 goes out with the 2 ...
I'm left with the 3-4-6....leaning more to the 6

gl
mike
----------------------------------------------------------
Mike, nice.

You're the man.

Thxs Bill

07-31-2011, 02:45 PM	#13
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Spa Race #6 Distance change and scratches Twinspires indicates this race is going to be run at 1 1/8 miles on the turf with the 1A scratched.

07-31-2011, 02:58 PM	#14
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Spa 7/31 Race #6 Pick With the 1A scratched, there's less early speed; but there is still plenty of it. The 2, 8, and 10 are all early and I'm tossing them. I have the 3 and 5 as being too late positionally and they are tossed. This leaves me with the 4, 6, 7, and 9. The 4 looks like he may get caught up too early leaving the 6, 7, and 9. At Saratoga in the last few days on the turf, several winners have been the 3rd fraction horse that survived the matchup. This leaves me with the 6 who had a 28.4 at a 1 1/16 miles and the 7 who ran a 29.3 in his last. The 6 also had some slower 3rd fractions. Two back, the 7 bobbled at the break. My choice is the 7. BTW, thanks for all the participation. I was surprised since there hasn't been a race in a month or so. I'll post the chart tonight. Good luck, Tim

07-31-2011, 06:37 PM	#16
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	4 wins the race by a nose to the 6 and the 7 got third after he got loose Good capping Mike patrick __________________ http://pktruckdriver.blogspot.com/

07-31-2011, 08:15 PM	#17
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Spa 7/31 Race #6 Chart Here's the chart. Congrats to Silent Run on the superfecta. I knew someone had to have it. The group was all over the 6, 7, and 2. I was elated by the interest in the race both by matching and the computer programs. Worthy of note is the first four horses under the wire had some trip troubles. I was elated by the interest in the race and will try to post another later in the week or next weekend. Tim

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07-31-2011, 01:05 PM	#11
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	I stink at the matchup so take that into consideration. E #1 #2 EP #8 #10 P #9 SP #3 thru #7 #2 is the pacesetter 23 2/5 47 4/5 I think the value is #10 Middle Of The Nite. That's a win & place bet for me. I'll also key #10 with 2-5-7 for exotics. Good luck, everyone. Or, as Bill would say, "Good skill."

07-31-2011, 02:14 PM	#12
SilentRun Grade 1 Aspiree Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 678	My take on this is : 2 - Bishop of Nola EE=1/VDC=3 3 - Versailles RDSS Contender. I like his late POR move 6 - TwoJohns LL=1/ VDC=2 Choosing amounst NewPace and RDSS is like going to a chinese restaurant 2 from Column A and 1 from Column B. Ernie

08-01-2011, 11:49 AM	#19
partsnut BetMix User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 2,433	mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,231 Whats strange here is that the entry has a speedy half and a horse that ran terribly once on the turf... If in case the 1 goes out with the 2 ... I'm left with the 3-4-6....leaning more to the 6 gl mike ---------------------------------------------------------- Mike, nice. You're the man.