Chaos Races

[Bob Cochran]

2 chaos races on today's menu.

CRC race 6 and AP race 9

Both are non-winners of 2 lifetime.

Let's look at CRC since it runs earliest (CST)

Top 5 APV-Class are 4-8-2-5-6

eliminations are: (long layoff ) is #1, #4 (2 wks last 30 days ,broke maiden 2007), #9 last few races bad.

horses for contention are 2,3,5,6,7,8,10, and 11

#2 line 1 , #3 line 2, #5 line 5, # 6 line 1, # 7 line 1 , # 8 line 4 , #10
line 1, and #11 line 4.

Lines are entered and the top 5 bl/bl are #'s 7-8-11-3-6

the median energy profile for this distance at CRC is 69.25 %

7 = 69.70% 8 = 69.90 % 6 = 69.60 %

#8 is #1 total energy and #2 APV-Class . A logical horse for the key-box.

CRC 5th is off in 19 min. Now to check out the 9th at AP

Not having seen the odds, i have no idea which contains the most value.

CRC racs is a sprint, AP race is a route.

Bob C

[Bob Cochran]

9th rac 8 fur (AW) surface

eliminate #9, last few races bad, no imf on AW surface
eliminate #7, slow sprinter from lesser track ?
# 10 early scratch.

Since this is a chaos race, you must find a recent line for the remainder of
field, unless there are other reasons eliminate them.

#1 line 3, #2 line 2 , #3 line 5, #4 line 8, # 5 line 1, #6 line 2, #8 line2

Top 5 bl/bl are #'s 4,1,5,8, and 3.

median energy for 8 fur. at AP is 68.10 %

#3 = 68.40 % , #4 = 68.70 %, and #5 = 68.30 %

#4 is #1 total energy , #6 = highest APV-Class

logical key-box #4 with 3,5,6,8

let's see what the toteboard shows.

The key-box #8 at AP went from 20-1 to 6-1 in the last 5 minutes Red Flag!

This is panic wagering from tote watchers

BobC

[pktruckdriver]

Ap 9th a 20-1 m/l asyour key box,I wish you the best of all luck, I doubt he'll go below 3-1, what being a m/l 20-1, but it's happened before.

Much luck

patrick

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyYZUhSeRYc

[Bob Cochran]

The horse in the 6th race at Calder that dropped from 20-1 to 6-1 in the last few minutes was the #8 horse. I mistakenly said AP in the post.

my bad,
BobC

[pktruckdriver]

Originally Posted by Bob Cochran

9th rac 8 fur (AW) surface

eliminate #9, last few races bad, no imf on AW surface
eliminate #7, slow sprinter from lesser track ?
# 10 early scratch.

Since this is a chaos race, you must find a recent line for the remainder of
field, unless there are other reasons eliminate them.

#1 line 3, #2 line 2 , #3 line 5, #4 line 8, # 5 line 1, #6 line 2, #8 line2

Top 5 bl/bl are #'s 4,1,5,8, and 3.


iit came in 1st 8 2nd 4 3rd 6 4th 1 a 1700+ TRI

median energy for 8 fur. at AP is 68.10 %

#3 = 68.40 % , #4 = 68.70 %, and #5 = 68.30 %

#4 is #1 total energy , #6 = highest APV-Class

logical key-box #4 with 3,5,6,8

let's see what the toteboard shows.

The key-box #8 at AP went from 20-1 to 6-1 in the last 5 minutes Red Flag!

This is panic wagering from tote watchers

BobC

THANK YOU BOB

I opened a new ADW acct w/racing2day from PA board, and well they give you a free 25.00 wager, well I proceeded to use your AP9th race as my free wager as follows for 24.80

1st and 2nd super for a .10 4 with 3568/3568/3568 2.40 each way for 4.80

1st and 2nd tri 4/3568/3568 for .50 6.00 each for 12.00

2.00 exacta only one way 4 over 3568, because AP only allows 2.00 exacta or else I would have had it both ways for a 1.00, oh well cost 8.00

total cost 24.80 I hit the Tri and won 442.00 for .50, not bad BOB

THANK YOU BOB, nice system you got there, I'm sold, for sure...

Patrick