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Old 04-08-2007, 10:24 AM   #51
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take 3

Now I take out the One and the Three
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Old 04-08-2007, 10:31 AM   #52
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take 3

now I need to make a call
looks at this point I have both the 4 and 9 line 1
to leave in or hide

If I had done this race this way
Bye Bye horse 9

6th Total energy 6th Primary line score
Poor APV Poor Class lost to both the 2 and the 4
in the tandem
Out and There goes the winner

Do horses with over 7.5 BL win
Yes But would I bet them ??
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Old 04-08-2007, 10:49 AM   #53
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Bill,

I try not to figure out and bet these kind of races. As far as I am concerned they are an ego thing for the handicapper and when I do them I am usually disappointed. The horses connections don't put them in these kind of races for a workout. Now that I've said that I was wondering after the fact if maybe turn time might have been a clue to what was the key to the outcome.

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Old 04-08-2007, 02:33 PM   #54
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yet again. The 7.5 beaten length, mechanical deletion MYTH is exposed.

QUOTE:"Do horses with over 7.5 BL win?" yes OFTEN AND AT PRICES.

In a parimutuel game you look for resources where the crowd won't: pure and simple.
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Old 04-08-2007, 03:03 PM   #55
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Quote:
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yet again. The 7.5 beaten length, mechanical deletion MYTH is exposed.

QUOTE:"Do horses with over 7.5 BL win?" yes OFTEN AND AT PRICES.

In a parimutuel game you look for resources where the crowd won't: pure and simple.
maybe best of the last 3 and keeping beaten lenghts to 7.5 or less using validator series of programs is part of the resource you are looking for in your above quote.

you play aqueduct right? here is yesterdays first race using best of last 3 sr and keeping beaten lenghts finish to 7.5 or less. program is validator 3. i hid to top 5 per bill's instructions to me over a year ago.

the winner of the race is the 1a at 13/1. the place horse is the 7 at 70/1. exacta is over 650 dollars.

here is the bottom line betting line screen for yesterdays first race.
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Old 04-08-2007, 03:07 PM   #56
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here is the early late graph for the same race. bill and richie told me last year that when all the horses show a computer generated esp of late look at this graph and consider the 2 biggest late "sticks" as they referred to them for your win bets. they said that doc had laid this out in the followup as a simple win decision tool to use only when all horses are late esp wise.

the 2 biggest late sticks are the 1a who wins and the 7 who runs second at 70/1.

doesnt get much better or easier than this.simple line selection and simple hiding leads to a race where things go nuts and validator is on top of the whole situation
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Old 04-08-2007, 03:26 PM   #57
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maybe best of the last 3 and keeping beaten lenghts to 7.5 or less using validator series of programs is part of the resource you are looking for in your above quote.
One race an argument does not make......
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Old 04-08-2007, 03:34 PM   #58
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One race an argument does not make......
i just had a bowl of vanilla ice cream with some fresh sliced strawberries and apples on top of it.
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Old 04-08-2007, 03:41 PM   #59
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You're full of shaving cream

Quote:
Originally Posted by tompkins View Post
yet again. The 7.5 beaten length, mechanical deletion MYTH is exposed.

QUOTE:"Do horses with over 7.5 BL win?" yes OFTEN AND AT PRICES.

In a parimutuel game you look for resources where the crowd won't: pure and simple.

YOU are Insane !!!!
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Old 04-08-2007, 03:44 PM   #60
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Why, do you think, a person would hold on to an idea, as obviously unpopular as it is here?...Because it has been revealed as baloney over and over and over.

Show the folks the race I sent you for starters..
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