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04-08-2007, 10:24 AM | #51 |
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
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take 3
Now I take out the One and the Three
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04-08-2007, 10:31 AM | #52 |
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
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take 3
now I need to make a call
looks at this point I have both the 4 and 9 line 1 to leave in or hide If I had done this race this way Bye Bye horse 9 6th Total energy 6th Primary line score Poor APV Poor Class lost to both the 2 and the 4 in the tandem Out and There goes the winner Do horses with over 7.5 BL win Yes But would I bet them ?? |
04-08-2007, 10:49 AM | #53 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Bill,
I try not to figure out and bet these kind of races. As far as I am concerned they are an ego thing for the handicapper and when I do them I am usually disappointed. The horses connections don't put them in these kind of races for a workout. Now that I've said that I was wondering after the fact if maybe turn time might have been a clue to what was the key to the outcome. Froggy |
04-08-2007, 02:33 PM | #54 |
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 708
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yet again. The 7.5 beaten length, mechanical deletion MYTH is exposed.
QUOTE:"Do horses with over 7.5 BL win?" yes OFTEN AND AT PRICES. In a parimutuel game you look for resources where the crowd won't: pure and simple.
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velocititian Last edited by tompkins; 04-08-2007 at 02:37 PM. |
04-08-2007, 03:03 PM | #55 | |
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 639
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Quote:
you play aqueduct right? here is yesterdays first race using best of last 3 sr and keeping beaten lenghts finish to 7.5 or less. program is validator 3. i hid to top 5 per bill's instructions to me over a year ago. the winner of the race is the 1a at 13/1. the place horse is the 7 at 70/1. exacta is over 650 dollars. here is the bottom line betting line screen for yesterdays first race.
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04-08-2007, 03:07 PM | #56 |
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 639
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here is the early late graph for the same race. bill and richie told me last year that when all the horses show a computer generated esp of late look at this graph and consider the 2 biggest late "sticks" as they referred to them for your win bets. they said that doc had laid this out in the followup as a simple win decision tool to use only when all horses are late esp wise.
the 2 biggest late sticks are the 1a who wins and the 7 who runs second at 70/1. doesnt get much better or easier than this.simple line selection and simple hiding leads to a race where things go nuts and validator is on top of the whole situation
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04-08-2007, 03:26 PM | #57 |
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 708
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One race an argument does not make......
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velocititian |
04-08-2007, 03:34 PM | #58 |
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 639
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i just had a bowl of vanilla ice cream with some fresh sliced strawberries and apples on top of it.
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04-08-2007, 03:41 PM | #59 |
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You're full of shaving cream
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04-08-2007, 03:44 PM | #60 |
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 708
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Why, do you think, a person would hold on to an idea, as obviously unpopular as it is here?...Because it has been revealed as baloney over and over and over.
Show the folks the race I sent you for starters..
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velocititian Last edited by tompkins; 04-08-2007 at 03:47 PM. |
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