%Med Info

[cmckeever]

Originally Posted by Ted Craven

Cedric - your recent out-of-the-box Model sheet should not be demonstrating any 'circular behaviour' issues - and this is the first I'm hearing about it . I invite you to send me that sheet by email (please put within a ZIP file first), along with some instructions how and where in the sheet to see that error. I will help you get it working normally.

Ted,

The circular error probably occurred because I put the formulas at the bottom. I changed the formulas to the top and did not get the circular. The video I watched had the formulas at the bottom, but it was an earlier video.

I do have some questions though:



What is the purpose to that block.

Secondly:



What is the purpose of Count?

Today will be the first day that I will enter data since Parx cancelled races Monday and Tuesday. There is no rush for an explanation, I just thought that it would be interesting to mine some data to add to all the work LT1 posts. I am not an Excel expert, so I don't know if I will contribute anything.

Thanks for your interest,

Cedric

[cmckeever]

Well, Parx did not run again today. I guess I'll have to wait until next Monday. We are forecast to get bad snow Sunday so maybe it will be another week before I can enter data. I looked at the practice races but they don't have the ProfitLine or BRISS Prime data.

[Lt1]

Mac Parx is supposed to run Thur but who knows with those wimps
Tim

[cmckeever]

Tim,

Thanks for the information. I was not going to check but I will now.

It was almost 40 degrees here today.

Cedric

[DELMARGRANT]

Thank you Tim, This explains alot to me about med% I am thankful for you sharing your knowledge.

[Lt1]

You are welcome Grant. %Med is a very powerful tool when seperating your contenders.
Tim

[AwesomeAgain]

%Med (Percent Median Energy) measures how a horse distributes its energy during a race by calculating what percentage of its total energy is used in the early portion of the race versus the late portion. A higher %Med means the horse expends more of its energy early and typically runs on or near the lead, while a lower %Med indicates the horse conserves energy early and finishes stronger late. %Med helps reveal a horse’s true energy balance and natural running style, identifying whether it is primarily early, sustained, or late. Instead of focusing only on speed figures, %Med shows how a horse uses its speed, which can be just as important as the raw numbers themselves.

This concept becomes even more powerful when viewed alongside NewPace Pace of Race (POR), which measures the pressure level of the race itself. While %Med shows how a horse distributes its energy, POR describes the environment in which that energy must be used. The key relationship is simple: as pace pressure increases, the winning %Med generally decreases because horses must conserve more energy for the stretch run.

In soft races (POR 0–65), winners often display higher %Med values around 67.8–68.7, reflecting early speed that can control the race. In tactical races (66–72), more balanced energy around 67.3–68.1 tends to win. As pressure rises (73–82), the winning profile shifts toward 66.8–67.6, favoring horses that sit just behind the pace. In extreme pressure races (83+), %Med drops further to roughly 65.8–66.9, where late-running horses benefit from pace collapse.

The takeaway is that energy distribution must match the pace environment. A horse with slightly lower overall speed can still win if its %Med profile fits the projected race pressure better than the competition.

[Jake]

Originally Posted by AwesomeAgain

%Med (Percent Median Energy) measures how a horse distributes its energy during a race by calculating what percentage of its total energy is used in the early portion of the race versus the late portion. A higher %Med means the horse expends more of its energy early and typically runs on or near the lead, while a lower %Med indicates the horse conserves energy early and finishes stronger late. %Med helps reveal a horse’s true energy balance and natural running style, identifying whether it is primarily early, sustained, or late. Instead of focusing only on speed figures, %Med shows how a horse uses its speed, which can be just as important as the raw numbers themselves.

This concept becomes even more powerful when viewed alongside NewPace Pace of Race (POR), which measures the pressure level of the race itself. While %Med shows how a horse distributes its energy, POR describes the environment in which that energy must be used. The key relationship is simple: as pace pressure increases, the winning %Med generally decreases because horses must conserve more energy for the stretch run.

In soft races (POR 0–65), winners often display higher %Med values around 67.8–68.7, reflecting early speed that can control the race. In tactical races (66–72), more balanced energy around 67.3–68.1 tends to win. As pressure rises (73–82), the winning profile shifts toward 66.8–67.6, favoring horses that sit just behind the pace. In extreme pressure races (83+), %Med drops further to roughly 65.8–66.9, where late-running horses benefit from pace collapse.

The takeaway is that energy distribution must match the pace environment. A horse with slightly lower overall speed can still win if its %Med profile fits the projected race pressure better than the competition.

You hit it on the nose! Good post.

Jake

[Lt1]

Well done Brian. I just want to remind folks that at every TRK and at any dist & surface there is a range[based on your capping] that all winners, place, & show horses run between. By keeping records one can effectively upgrade or downgrade their contenders .As you stated %med is a powerful factor in the handicapping equation when used properly.
Tim

[Jake]

Originally Posted by Lt1

Well done Brian. I just want to remind folks that at every TRK and at any dist & surface there is a range[based on your capping] that all winners, place, & show horses run between. By keeping records one can effectively upgrade or downgrade their contenders .As you stated %med is a powerful factor in the handicapping equation when used properly.
Tim

Tim,

I know you track this extensively with your track database records and have recommended this as well several times. It does work well for making sense of energy requirements.

Jake