Breeders Cup

[barryt]

Anyone planning on outputting thir RDSS selection for the BC races?

[Bill Lyster]

Only a few situations pop out.

I have BC info from 2008 but summarized only through 2020.

Classic; Top 2 ML won 10/13 times; top 4 12/13

Distaff: Top 2 ML won 7 times, top 4 13 times

Sprint top 2 ML won 8 times, top 4 9 times

Juv colts and filles top 4 ML won 9 times

RX3 info:

Distaff top 3 10/13 times

Turf Sprint top 3 10/13 times

Sprint; top 3 8; top 5 9

Turf Mile; top 3, 8 times; top 9 times

Juv Fillies turf top 5, 9 times

Juv colt turf, Juv colts; F/M turf; F/M sprint; Dirt Mile top 5, each 8 times

Classic top 5 Rx3 8 times

Hope this narrows things a bit.

Oh yeah, turf races favor top 3 Euros and top 2 US horses, the longer the better.

[dadams6357]

Bill
Thanks for the stats.
don

[kahunab]

Here are actual data from Yesterday.

After eliminating horses down to 5 contenders, yesterday at the Breeders Cup we generally have 3 Leverage/Pace blue arrow horses. Note that you have to use RX rankings as described earlier in the process outline to eliminate non contenders. If you don't you may not get the right Leverage Pace horses or Leverage pace scores.

Here is race 7. Note the orange arrows which indicate RX scores and where to find the blue arrow indicators. When there are ties in the RX3 scores I use the BL/BL and or the 4 Score to break the ties.



Here is how our Leverage/Pace horses did Yesterday at the Breeders Cup in races without large numbers of foreign horses. Sometimes you will end up with only 2 blue arrow horses and sometimes with 4. Yesterday I ended up with 3 in each playable race.

Race 1 3 WP
Race 2 3 WS
Race 3 3 W
Race 4 3 WS
Race 5 3 P
Race 6 No Play
Race 7 3 WPS
Race 8 No Play
Race 9 3 WP
Race 10 No PLay

Our Leverage/Pace scores really help us isolate the winners.

Dick

[Bill Lyster]

Yesterday race 7

#1 Euro , the 12 placed
3 Euro, the 10 won at 20/1. $1 Exacta paid $170.40

Race 9
#14 was #1 Euro, won as the heavy favorite
#8 placed, was #1 US, exacta $80

[kahunab]

Originally Posted by Bill Lyster

Yesterday race 7

#1 Euro , the 12 placed
3 Euro, the 10 won at 20/1. $1 Exacta paid $170.40

Race 9
#14 was #1 Euro, won as the heavy favorite
#8 placed, was #1 US, exacta $80

Bill,
I think the first race you refer to is Race 8 not the 7th.

I posted the 7 up above and that came in with all 3 arrow horses on the board. 8,7,4 was the result on the 7th.

[The Pook]

DMR Race 1

Leverage Pace
Exactor 1/5,6,7,11/1

Pook

[The Pook]

Originally Posted by The Pook

DMR Race 1

Leverage Pace
Exactor 1/5,6,7,11/1

Pook

DMR Race 1 Result

3,6,8
Not close $80=0

Pook

[The Pook]

DMR Race 2

Leverage Pace
Exactor 1/7,8,12,14/1

Pook

[kahunab]

Pook,
I get the same picks, 1 as the key. With the 8,14, 12,13. The long shot play is the 7.

Dick