Race selection

[For The Lead]

Originally Posted by Mitch44

Actually here is something to note on the winner of this race, the #1 .


He ran an ugly race or 0 race in his 5th race and after a layoff of 49 days won his next race (Line four) HMM? How does that happen after an ugly 0 last race? And at a whopping $ 48 dollars or so. So much for hard and fast inflexible rules.


To me this is just another example of cherry picking after the fact. I'm always 100% after the race but never seem to get paid for that. Where the money is earned is the decisions made before post time and the betting of one's analysis.

Best of luck,
Mitch44

Well, the first thing is, I did not cherry pick the race. Bill V posted it, not me.

This is in line with you deciding to look at this horse going from a "0" race in line 5 to a winning race in line 4. I didn't pick it, you did. But since you did pick it, I'll respond.

It certainly helps to be able to read the Racing Form and intepret what it is telling you and since you seem puzzled by what happened, I'll help you out.

I have attached the PP's for the #1 horse (the horse in question here).
In red, I have circled races from DMR.
In black, I have circled races from SA.
It is clear to any astute reader that races from DMR can be thrown out. It appears for whatever the reason the horse doesn't like the track.
On the other hand, the horse appears to like SA.
So, when looking at the horse's race at SA in line 7 for $25,000 and showing its' customary early speed and then looking at its' next race at SA in line 4 for $12,500 (half the previous value at SA)it is little wonder that the horse won off by almost 5 lengths. Naturally, one would have to see the rest of the field in the race on line 4, but this reading of the Racing Form answers the question for today's #1 horse on that day.
Its' winning race in line 4 is just NOT the mystery you make it out to be!