Pktruckdriver Octubre Selecciones

[pktruckdriver]

50 win bet 7 and 8


couldn't get sceen shot in

[pktruckdriver]

Hoosier , nevr bet here , so let me trust my P/L that I chose and see what RDSS gives me.

At 5MTP I will play 50 win 1 and 5

hope the 1 does not go down, and hidng the 7 because of track, hope I am right, buut still no Blue Star this race

[pktruckdriver]

lost

[pktruckdriver]

How could the 9 horse not be a play here


Let me go out on to the ledge of letting my inner gut pick one, and it tells me to bet it all on the 9 horse, if you look at 2nd line you see he won by 26 lengths, how many horses do this, here it is

50 win/place on 9 horse

Notice how I settled back into my comfort zone of wagering and I do a w/p bet, if I did this place wager last race I would have had my blue star horse, at 9.60 to place, just a thought.

[Ted Craven]

Patrick,

We used the same pacelines. Would you consider further sorting your horses into Win contender today versus not-for-Win contender today, say based on recent performance, forgiving 1 race after a significant layoff for the #8, but not 2 bad races for the #5 or #7 and discounting Turf only recent proficiency for the #2.

Here's what I got (before checking results - I did not bet it):

[pktruckdriver]

Originally Posted by Ted Craven

Patrick,

We used the same pacelines. Would you consider further sorting your horses into Win contender today versus not-for-Win contender today, say based on recent performance, forgiving 1 race after a significant layoff for the #8, but not 2 bad races for the #5 or #7 and discounting Turf only recent proficiency for the #2.

Here's what I got (before checking results - I did not bet it):

Attachment 30930

Attachment 30931

Ted I am thinking about this and was wondering to myuself before this race was run if I should have bet my plays as place wagers due to the higher odds, why because I truly felt that my picks were more likely place wagers, or a 2nd and 3rd place horse, ortherwise filling in the exotics.

I notice that when you make your screen shots you have it split into contenders and non-contenders, which basically means who can win and who will not , I don't do that , I hide non-contenders instead of keeping them on screen.

Should reconsider this?

[pktruckdriver]

Lost Again

[pktruckdriver]

looking this time to wager 50 win on 1/1a and 8 horse

[Bill V.]

Hi Patrick

I think for you using the split screen would be the way to go

Look at Teds lines for his win contenders

all 8.0 dirt lines except for the 4 horse , and its rated 4th
It sure makes it a neat clear packaged right ?



The first thing I noticed about your race was the
wide spread in surface and distance and tracks of your pacelines

When I went through each horse to pick my lines I decided to pass
after horse 4 too many issues for 1 race IMO

all in all you just missed your horses ran 2nd and 3rd

[Ted Craven]

Originally Posted by pktruckdriver

Ted I am thinking about this and was wondering to myuself before this race was run if I should have bet my plays as place wagers due to the higher odds, why because I truly felt that my picks were more likely place wagers, or a 2nd and 3rd place horse, otherwise filling in the exotics.

I notice that when you make your screen shots you have it split into contenders and non-contenders, which basically means who can win and who will not , I don't do that , I hide non-contenders instead of keeping them on screen.

Should reconsider this?

Patrick,

You should reduce the horse showing on your Analysis screens to only those which can win the race (i.e. 4 or 5 maximum). This removes the noise from the readouts and most times places the 2 or 3 horses which can actually win in the top ranks of whatever readout you favour, but especially the BL/BL screen.

If you intend to bet an exacta or a place bet including horses you believe will NOT win but can finish in the money, your choice is to either remove them completely from the Analysis screens then find a way to not forget about them - OR, group them as Secondary Contenders so they appear in front of your eyes in a different grouping. The remaining horses in the upper Primary group are the 4 or 5 you believe can actually win and are ranked only among themselves.

Try this for 20 races and see if it gives you greater clarity. Don't forget about the part where, despite the relative rankings of the horses, you determine if they have demonstrated the recent form to actually Win today against the competition; they may not be world beaters, but they only have to beat today's competition. In the above race, you have to admit that some of those horses in your list are really unlikely candidates to Win.

cheers,

Ted