Saturday, December 12

[clore1030]

AQU
First race

The 7 comes back after 6 months off and could be dangerous. Worth a shot at 5/1.

EDITED TO ADD

Went to the top LPR horse, might be worth noting.

[clore1030]

Here I go again, also come up with a 7 horse for the second at AQU. Big BL advantage for me, nice price.

[clore1030]

My top LPR and BL horse (said earlier that LPR might be worth watching today) and 21/1.

Made up for a weak IDT start.

Looking to play the 1 horse in the eighth at AQU

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by clore1030

My top LPR and BL horse (said earlier that LPR might be worth watching today) and 21/1.

Made up for a weak IDT start.

Looking to play the 1 horse in the eighth at AQU

Great hit Charles!!

Very contrarian line selection I see eh?

[clore1030]

I think that last selection is still running, maybe he'll win the ninth race.

[clore1030]

Originally Posted by RichieP

Great hit Charles!!

Very contrarian line selection I see eh?

Thanks Rich, that means a lot coming from you.

I look at the last three races of a comparable distance. If the horse has a perceptor rating within that three that is ranked either 2nd or 3rd, I will use the top-ranked perceptor line.

But only if the top-ranked perceptor line is within 4 speed rating points. This is something I determined through trial and error. My theory was that it gives me a horse that is fit enough to reach his peak, but it keeps me from falling for a speed rating that is way out of whack.

The horse was close enough last time out in a race that came after a three month layoff. It struck me as fit and ready.

[RichieP]

[QUOTE=clore1030;62412]

I look at the last three races of a comparable distance. If the horse has a perceptor rating within that three that is ranked either 2nd or 3rd, I will use the top-ranked perceptor line.

But only if the top-ranked perceptor line is within 4 speed rating points. This is something I determined through trial and error. My theory was that it gives me a horse that is fit enough to reach his peak, but it keeps me from falling for a speed rating that is way out of whack.

The horse was close enough last time out in a race that came after a three month layoff. It struck me as fit and ready.[/QUOTE

Charles when I read this I had to pop in as this is eerily close to my auto template and I do mean eerily!!!

Keep rockin!

[jms62]

Hol Late P4

Total: $72
Hollywood Park $1 Pick-4 1,3 / 1,4-5 / 2,6,9-10 / 1,4,7

[clore1030]

Originally Posted by RichieP

Charles when I read this I had to pop in as this is eerily close to my auto template and I do mean eerily!!!

Keep rockin!

Great minds think alike!

I'm still tinkering with it. For example, now that the grass season is over, there are many candidates that show a decent dirt race, but a better perceptor score might be found on a turf race. Again, if the perceptor rank first considered is a three, I'll take a second or first rank line if the SR is within four points.

I've found two in the last week that would have yielded nice mutuel scores had I taken the grass line instead. It's something for me to monitor.

Poly to dirt seems to be a better fit on the IDT which has a sandier composition.

[Bill V.]

Originally Posted by jms62

Hol Late P4

Total: $72
Hollywood Park $1 Pick-4 1,3 / 1,4-5 / 2,6,9-10 / 1,4,7

3 1 10 7

Nice one Jim