Saturday, December 12
 

AQU
First race

The 7 comes back after 6 months off and could be dangerous. Worth a shot at 5/1.

EDITED TO ADD

Went to the top LPR horse, might be worth noting.

Here I go again, also come up with a 7 horse for the second at AQU. Big BL advantage for me, nice price.

Finally
 

My top LPR and BL horse (said earlier that LPR might be worth watching today) and 21/1.

Made up for a weak IDT start.

Looking to play the 1 horse in the eighth at AQU

Great hit Charles!!

Very contrarian line selection I see eh? :D

I think that last selection is still running, maybe he'll win the ninth race.

Thanks Rich, that means a lot coming from you.

I look at the last three races of a comparable distance. If the horse has a perceptor rating within that three that is ranked either 2nd or 3rd, I will use the top-ranked perceptor line.

But only if the top-ranked perceptor line is within 4 speed rating points. This is something I determined through trial and error. My theory was that it gives me a horse that is fit enough to reach his peak, but it keeps me from falling for a speed rating that is way out of whack.

The horse was close enough last time out in a race that came after a three month layoff. It struck me as fit and ready.

[QUOTE=clore1030;62412]

I look at the last three races of a comparable distance. If the horse has a perceptor rating within that three that is ranked either 2nd or 3rd, I will use the top-ranked perceptor line.

But only if the top-ranked perceptor line is within 4 speed rating points. This is something I determined through trial and error. My theory was that it gives me a horse that is fit enough to reach his peak, but it keeps me from falling for a speed rating that is way out of whack.

The horse was close enough last time out in a race that came after a three month layoff. It struck me as fit and ready.[/QUOTE

Charles when I read this I had to pop in as this is eerily close to my auto template and I do mean eerily!!! :)

Keep rockin!

Hol Late P4

Total: $72
Hollywood Park $1 Pick-4 1,3 / 1,4-5 / 2,6,9-10 / 1,4,7

Great minds think alike! :)

I'm still tinkering with it. For example, now that the grass season is over, there are many candidates that show a decent dirt race, but a better perceptor score might be found on a turf race. Again, if the perceptor rank first considered is a three, I'll take a second or first rank line if the SR is within four points.

I've found two in the last week that would have yielded nice mutuel scores had I taken the grass line instead. It's something for me to monitor.

Poly to dirt seems to be a better fit on the IDT which has a sandier composition.

energy
 

3 1 10 7

Nice one Jim