Del Mar 08-25-08

[lsosa54]

Originally Posted by alydar_David

I'm not sure you can go by counter energy in these kinds of situations though. I mean, the race is riddled with unknowns and a large percentage of your handicapping (at least mine) is projecting who can do something he's never done before.

To me this is what makes 3YO and 4YO races so interesting and lucrative.

Of course that's only my opinion based on my handicapping experience. As they say, your mileage may vary.

Not necessarily counter energy, David, but what has been winning in Del Mar dirt routes. The 3 speed horses going for the lead just helped confirm that it should run how it's been running - sustained. Yes, these are maidens but they had a couple of pace lines to look at.

Without getting into all the reasons, the horse was actually a fairly logical contender here. The only unknown was how he would handle the poly but the trainer had a good record with turf to poly in limited starts. The BRIS par here was 76 and he had run a 74 on the turf up north at a bit lower purse.

50 to 1 was out of line. The good thing is that we didn't let the odds scare us off and we bet him.

BTW, if he doesn't have to take up at the top of the stretch, he wins it fairly easily.