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| Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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08-02-2014, 04:52 PM
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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 9,241
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Whitney G1 - SAR 8/2/2014
Just back from the 'bush' in time for the mid-summer big G1 Stakes at the Spa - the Whitney.
My take on Graded Stakes, and G1 in particular, is that to be a Contender for Win or Place a horse must have won or been very competitive at a G1, preferably this year. Otherwise, Speed Ratings and energy-based numbers alone can mislead. Hence the following grouping: 5-1-4-3 have the best chance to finish 1st or 2nd. Of the 2 Earlies, #3 Moreno is always the monster and can almost get the 9f distance (though never quite won it). #4 It's My Lucky Day is the other Early (EP) and has not demonstrated ability past 8.5f but will press #3 who should be able to put him away. Moreno's shot at glory is if he can slow the pace enough to stay. Because - Pressing #5 Palace Malice and #1 Will take Charge have all the Late energy to collect any too-fast pace. From a 'race-finish' perspective, #5 and #1 can win if there is ANY amount of pressure on #3 Moreno. However, there will be NO price on either of them (and WTF with WTC - he leaves me 'wanting' this year ...). Thus from a 'betting' perspective I will include Moreno Win/Place at the ML Odds or thereabouts, with an Exacta on 5-1-3 over 5-4-1-3 Good luck to all! Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
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08-02-2014, 05:26 PM
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Woodbine
Posts: 761
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Sounds reasonable enough.
I am going with the 6 & 9, just because. 
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08-02-2014, 05:59 PM
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#3 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Woodbine
Posts: 761
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You hit that one out of the park, nice work! You got some value to boot, you should have gone deeper with the Tri.
Well done Ted! 
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08-02-2014, 05:59 PM
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#4 | |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 9,241
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Quote:
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
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08-02-2014, 06:00 PM
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#5 | |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 9,241
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Quote:
(deeper exotics ...)T
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
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08-02-2014, 08:56 PM
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#6 |
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Budman
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 801
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Good job Ted |
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08-02-2014, 09:32 PM
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#7 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 507
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finally Moreno wins for me....in a pic 4.....trouble is the other 3 where all chalk...had two longshots run second...in the 9th and 11th...and I thought that SAR was the graveyard of favorites
Last edited by atkinsrr; 08-02-2014 at 09:33 PM. Reason: mis spell |
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08-03-2014, 01:44 AM
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#8 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 593
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Nice job Ted ! Nice price !
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Every day I wake up above the grass its a good day ! |
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08-03-2014, 10:15 AM
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#9 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 644
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Nice hit, Ted.
Anytime you get a $20+ winner, you get to wear the Crown for a day! 
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08-03-2014, 11:45 AM
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#10 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,065
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Ted, nice hit!!
Love when Pace and Cap members are making money!! Mike |
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