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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
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PRX 7th - 4/11/17
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
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Horses 1, 2 and 3
#1
#2 #3 |
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#3 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
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Horses 4, 5 and 6
#4
#5 #6 |
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#4 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
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Horses 7, 8 and 9
#7
#8 #9 |
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#5 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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My look
Top 5 TPR last line ( step1 0
4,7,3,5,1 Fulcrum POR EPR 93.5 (horse 7) Notes Horse 1 , House Of Friends .Sustained Line 2 is a CL7500N2-L win line The horse was claimed in that race, Line 1 was a 0 races against allowance horses and first race after a 6 week layoff, Will need a little better EPR with a today's 93.5 fulcrum Line 3 is 100 days ago so that is a issue Horse 2 Moneyman. .Sustained. Line 1 "0" is against CL20N3-L and at 7 furlongs Line 2 is a + paceline but against a slow DTV . current form is okay, He come right back in 9 days Horse 3. More Data EP ( when in form) Line 1 is a win line @ CL7500N2-L moves up to CL12.5 Looks to be hjust behind the the fulcrum Horse 4. The Schwarm. EarlyPresser Has been Routing at Aqu inner Line 1 is a (+) after a layoff I will rate of line 1 and see how the match up of the LPRs stack up . Horse 5 Run Dixie Run, Presser . Another recent router looking at the fucrum I will not give this one a line Horse 6 Smart and Tough. Early Been off for 142 days Form is unknown I only have 1 other layoff line to rate ( line 9) but that was a slow pace turf line Horse 7 Windcries Early , Fulcrum horse I see no reason to expect anything different than what it did in its win in this line? This is only a 3 year old .He could bounce . Line 1 is against CL7500N2-L Horse 8 Bestbandever Sustained Line 1 is a 2 move (+) but the TPR and LPR are weak Nothing else to se here Horse 9. Portent Early Popular horse has been claimed in last two races The best + line in that form cycle is race 3 but early sticks and falling total energy have me worried Lets see how the 4 is bet I probably will pass this one |
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#6 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,872
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A brain teaser for sure. As Jeebs would say a slobber-knocker or in other words a real slobber-fest. ha ha ha
Mitch44 |
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#7 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
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#8 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
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Velocity/RS analysis
#7 and #9 are virtually matching early runners based on my line selections. The #3 should be sitting right off, while #4 may struggle to stick close to the pace in this match-up. #3 shows a massive middle move from F1 to F2, passing horses between calls. None of the Sustained/Sustained Presser style runners can seemingly string together strong 2nd and 3rd fractions, which makes me leery of them. |
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#9 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
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Bottom Line
I tend to favor the Early/Early Pressers in this particular match-up. #4 comes up as the top tier on BL/BL based on my line selections, but could be underlaid given the connections. My wagering preferences would be #3 and #7, both of which seem to have some upside in both ability and price potential. Good luck and skill to all involved here. |
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#10 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Early
Early betting is heavy on the 7
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