Del Mar Opening Day: - Pace and Cap

Ryan.p.coli · 07-16-2014, 10:19 PM

Anyone look at race 3 yet?

There are 3 horses coming off long layoffs, 2 of which are favorites:

My mini database (~ 200 races at this point) confirms what I've heard about 90% of winners have raced in the last 90 days.

Anyone considering using the 2 or 4 as win candidates?

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Name: Race 3 analysis.PNG
Views: 458
Size: 49.4 KB

Ryan.p.coli · 07-16-2014, 10:22 PM

I think it's a warm up race for the 4, who is used to running in graded stakes company. More i consider, the more I want to pass.

mowens33 · 07-17-2014, 03:00 PM

Ryan, I would consider both 2 and 4 contenders in this race, due to the fact they have run good races in the past with a lay off and the workout tabs look pretty good.

That being said there looks to be a lot of uncertainty in the race with the long layoffs and with the 3 (CJD?? and long layoff) and the others with mostly turf lines.

If I were to bet this race I would lean toward the 2 and the 4, But I would pass this race, but that's me.

Good Skill!!!!

Mike

mowens33 · 07-17-2014, 04:42 PM

Rdss

Ryan.p.coli · 07-18-2014, 11:37 AM

Result- and smart pass by this guy.

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MIKE · 07-18-2014, 01:23 PM

Mowen

Nice call on 1st at Saratoga

mowens33 · 07-18-2014, 05:20 PM

Mike, Thanks!

Off to a good start!!

Mike

07-16-2014, 10:19 PM	#1
Ryan.p.coli Grade 1 Join Date: May 2014 Location: Chicago Posts: 121	Del Mar Opening Day: Anyone look at race 3 yet? There are 3 horses coming off long layoffs, 2 of which are favorites: My mini database (~ 200 races at this point) confirms what I've heard about 90% of winners have raced in the last 90 days. Anyone considering using the 2 or 4 as win candidates?

07-17-2014, 04:42 PM	#4
mowens33 Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA Posts: 1,065	Rdss Attached Images

07-18-2014, 05:20 PM	#7
mowens33 Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA Posts: 1,065	Mike, Thanks! Off to a good start!! Mike Attached Images

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07-16-2014, 10:22 PM	#2
Ryan.p.coli Grade 1 Join Date: May 2014 Location: Chicago Posts: 121	I think it's a warm up race for the 4, who is used to running in graded stakes company. More i consider, the more I want to pass.

07-17-2014, 03:00 PM	#3
mowens33 Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA Posts: 1,065	Ryan, I would consider both 2 and 4 contenders in this race, due to the fact they have run good races in the past with a lay off and the workout tabs look pretty good. That being said there looks to be a lot of uncertainty in the race with the long layoffs and with the 3 (CJD?? and long layoff) and the others with mostly turf lines. If I were to bet this race I would lean toward the 2 and the 4, But I would pass this race, but that's me. Good Skill!!!! Mike

07-18-2014, 11:37 AM	#5
Ryan.p.coli Grade 1 Join Date: May 2014 Location: Chicago Posts: 121	Result- and smart pass by this guy.

07-18-2014, 01:23 PM	#6
MIKE Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Rochester NY Posts: 196	Mowen Nice call on 1st at Saratoga