Philly is Back - Pace and Cap

SilentRun · 08-30-2010, 04:15 PM

I like to play Philly and today I was on target. After I bet, about 2 MTP, the
odds dropped significantly on my selections in all races that I played.
The highest payoff up to the 8th race was $ 9.60. Check out that exacta where I
won 0.90. But I am a happy camper as long as I can continue to zero in on the
winners.

Ernie

SilentRun · 08-30-2010, 05:06 PM

In this race the 3 horse was off 40 plus days but he had a solid 5F workout, which to me puts him in contention.
The 9 horse was also off 40 plus days but he did NOT HAVE a solid 5F workout. The 7 was also a solid contender and could have won
but the 3 was 4/1 and the 7 was 2/1 when I bet. I also thought that the 2 horse
was overmatched. So I made my call going with the higher odds contender at the time.
I discounted the 8 horse as I felt he was taking a NCD (Negative Class Drop).
I recommend to read or re-read that chapter in MPH (Modern Pace Handicapping).
I find that it is these qualitative points that make a difference between contenders.

Ernie

SilentRun · 08-30-2010, 05:12 PM

Granted this was not a high payoff but this is how I saw it.

Ernie

Rverge · 08-30-2010, 07:30 PM

i, on the other hand thought the card was terrible coming off a few weeks off.
i passed most of the races and did play the last where my 3 finished 2nd the 9 was first and paid $10.+. sorry

i thought TDN has better races(where i was having some luck) but even there mostly chalk.
good for you slient on your day

!

SilentRun · 08-30-2010, 09:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rverge

i, on the other hand thought the card was terrible coming off a few weeks off.

You are absolutly right chalk it was....I don't know what I was smoking.

Ernie

Bill V. · 09-05-2010, 04:47 PM

Great to have the PHA back
today was much better

08-30-2010, 04:15 PM	#1
SilentRun Grade 1 Aspiree Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 678	Philly is Back I like to play Philly and today I was on target. After I bet, about 2 MTP, the odds dropped significantly on my selections in all races that I played. The highest payoff up to the 8th race was $ 9.60. Check out that exacta where I won 0.90. But I am a happy camper as long as I can continue to zero in on the winners. Ernie Attached Images

08-30-2010, 05:06 PM	#2
SilentRun Grade 1 Aspiree Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 678	Phil R8 In this race the 3 horse was off 40 plus days but he had a solid 5F workout, which to me puts him in contention. The 9 horse was also off 40 plus days but he did NOT HAVE a solid 5F workout. The 7 was also a solid contender and could have won but the 3 was 4/1 and the 7 was 2/1 when I bet. I also thought that the 2 horse was overmatched. So I made my call going with the higher odds contender at the time. I discounted the 8 horse as I felt he was taking a NCD (Negative Class Drop). I recommend to read or re-read that chapter in MPH (Modern Pace Handicapping). I find that it is these qualitative points that make a difference between contenders. Ernie Attached Images

08-30-2010, 05:12 PM	#3
SilentRun Grade 1 Aspiree Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 678	R8 Results Granted this was not a high payoff but this is how I saw it. Ernie Attached Images

08-30-2010, 07:30 PM	#4
Rverge Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: pittsburgh, now! Lancaster, CA. Posts: 2,531	i, on the other hand thought the card was terrible coming off a few weeks off. i passed most of the races and did play the last where my 3 finished 2nd the 9 was first and paid $10.+. sorry i thought TDN has better races(where i was having some luck) but even there mostly chalk. good for you slient on your day! __________________ i love every single minute of life, and, if one is lucky,then you must give it to others.

09-05-2010, 04:47 PM	#6
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Philly is back Great to have the PHA back today was much better Last edited by Bill V.; 09-05-2010 at 04:56 PM.

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