EVD 10th -- Wednesday, Jan. 25 - Pace and Cap

alydar_ David · 01-25-2006, 11:18 AM

EVD 10th -- Wednesday, Jan. 25
6F CLM $4,000 4YO+

Here's another chaos race. In a fourteen horse field not one horse can run to early par.

#2 Dr Ante will probably be the leader by the second call. He's got the best Total Energy and is the class of the field. At 3-1 he's the obvious horse to beat. Let's see if we can find some value elsewhere.

#11 Fourty Four Red likes the distance and can run to final par time. He's got the second best Total Energy and appears to be in form. Here's what makes me sit up and pay attention. His morning line odds are 8-1. I'd prefer something in the neighborhood of 12-1 for this horse. You might get those odds. There is some crazy betting at EVD.

# 4 Exfirmed is pretty quick and will be coming from out of the clouds. He hasn't raced in 120 days, but his workouts are okay. His morning line is 10-1. That's too high for a horse this fast.

If the #6, #7 and #2 kill themselves on the front end, and #11 doesn't keep going after he passes those guys, then #4 could pick up the pieces at a price.

The exotics are too complicated to mention as they are largely a function of price. Put it this way, there are lots of contenders for all the spots except win. In my opinion one of the above will wind up in the winner's circle.

I'll probably make win bets on #4 and #11.

Please feel free to jump in. The water's fine. :>)

RichieP · 01-25-2006, 06:05 PM

Hi Aly!

ok here are my contenders. First thing that hits me is the 6 beats the 12 by 5 lenghts yet the program odds 2/1 and 5/2 respectively. Very close. That's because of the late energy of the 12. So if u are right and no one can get the early par how bout some outside the box thinkin that maybe late is ok here

win bets on the top rated 11 and third rated 12

no exactas as the waters are way too deep here matey

Binder · 01-25-2006, 07:32 PM

I will bet the 2 and 11 Win and a 7 / 2-11 exacta box

RichieP · 01-25-2006, 09:54 PM

Hi Guys

the 12 is late scratch so here is revised screen shot

win bets on 11 and 1

no exactas

knock em dead!

Richie

cprescigno · 01-25-2006, 10:25 PM

I'm coming up with the 7-11, from Spec. We're not at the casino but I'll win bet both with an exacta box.
Here's the BL/BL
I swim well, I'll mix up a trifecta 7-11-6 and 7-11-1 and a super or two.

RESULTS - Close but no cigar
6-11-5-4

Win 6 $8.40
PL 11 $4.20
SH 5 $18.20

cprescigno · 01-25-2006, 10:30 PM

Anyone catch that sixth race?
$2200 Exacta....4-12 both long naturally.
And me with the 6-1

Charlie

cprescigno · 01-25-2006, 10:35 PM

Here's the BL/BL on that Sixth race at EVD. Originally I didn't give the 12 a line. Smart of me.

RichieP · 01-26-2006, 07:46 AM

Let's see. My top 2 ( 11-6) are totally gapped over the remainder of the contenders.
They run 1-2 for a 48 dollar exacta and I have NOTHING.

Nice job sparky

Binder · 01-26-2006, 04:31 PM

Very close there Charles

I really was pulling for you
nice call on the 6 and 11

Rich what can I say ?

hopefully Tampa will be real sweet to you Thursday

Bill

01-25-2006, 07:32 PM	#3
Binder Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Northern NJ Posts: 674	Smt I will bet the 2 and 11 Win and a 7 / 2-11 exacta box Attached Images

01-25-2006, 10:25 PM	#5
cprescigno Spec Rookie Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: NYC Posts: 258	I'm coming up with the 7-11, from Spec. We're not at the casino but I'll win bet both with an exacta box. Here's the BL/BL I swim well, I'll mix up a trifecta 7-11-6 and 7-11-1 and a super or two. RESULTS - Close but no cigar 6-11-5-4 Win 6 $8.40 PL 11 $4.20 SH 5 $18.20 Attached Images Last edited by cprescigno; 01-26-2006 at 12:08 AM.

01-26-2006, 07:46 AM	#8
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	Good thing I wasnt driving a car Let's see. My top 2 ( 11-6) are totally gapped over the remainder of the contenders. They run 1-2 for a 48 dollar exacta and I have NOTHING. Nice job sparky

01-26-2006, 04:31 PM	#9
Binder Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Northern NJ Posts: 674	umm Very close there Charles I really was pulling for you nice call on the 6 and 11 Rich what can I say ? hopefully Tampa will be real sweet to you Thursday Bill

01-25-2006, 11:18 AM	#1
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	EVD 10th -- Wednesday, Jan. 25 EVD 10th -- Wednesday, Jan. 25 6F CLM $4,000 4YO+ Here's another chaos race. In a fourteen horse field not one horse can run to early par. #2 Dr Ante will probably be the leader by the second call. He's got the best Total Energy and is the class of the field. At 3-1 he's the obvious horse to beat. Let's see if we can find some value elsewhere. #11 Fourty Four Red likes the distance and can run to final par time. He's got the second best Total Energy and appears to be in form. Here's what makes me sit up and pay attention. His morning line odds are 8-1. I'd prefer something in the neighborhood of 12-1 for this horse. You might get those odds. There is some crazy betting at EVD. # 4 Exfirmed is pretty quick and will be coming from out of the clouds. He hasn't raced in 120 days, but his workouts are okay. His morning line is 10-1. That's too high for a horse this fast. If the #6, #7 and #2 kill themselves on the front end, and #11 doesn't keep going after he passes those guys, then #4 could pick up the pieces at a price. The exotics are too complicated to mention as they are largely a function of price. Put it this way, there are lots of contenders for all the spots except win. In my opinion one of the above will wind up in the winner's circle. I'll probably make win bets on #4 and #11. Please feel free to jump in. The water's fine. :>)

01-25-2006, 06:05 PM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	Hi Aly! ok here are my contenders. First thing that hits me is the 6 beats the 12 by 5 lenghts yet the program odds 2/1 and 5/2 respectively. Very close. That's because of the late energy of the 12. So if u are right and no one can get the early par how bout some outside the box thinkin that maybe late is ok here win bets on the top rated 11 and third rated 12 no exactas as the waters are way too deep here matey Attached Images

01-25-2006, 09:54 PM	#4
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	Late Scratch Hi Guys the 12 is late scratch so here is revised screen shot win bets on 11 and 1 no exactas knock em dead! Richie Attached Images

01-25-2006, 10:30 PM	#6
cprescigno Spec Rookie Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: NYC Posts: 258	Anyone catch that sixth race? $2200 Exacta....4-12 both long naturally. And me with the 6-1 Charlie

01-25-2006, 10:35 PM	#7
cprescigno Spec Rookie Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: NYC Posts: 258	Here's the BL/BL on that Sixth race at EVD. Originally I didn't give the 12 a line. Smart of me. Attached Images