AQU December 12

[clore1030]

Here's the kind of race I don't like, it is a 10K claimer. That's bottom of the barrel in NYC and here we have a favorite that the barn has obviously given up on, but the public is giving one more chance. But at 5/2 presently, that support seems half-hearted.

If I toss out the 9, I get nice figs on the 4, who does have good mud form but also is a suspicious drop. The 7 looks viable, but this one too is scraping the bottom.

I'll just make a token wager on the 4, this isn't a heat that inspires any more than an action bet, and frankly, after doing the first seven races, the whole card looks dismal.

[Tim Y]

AQU 1st

[Tim Y]

Way to go: BETWEEN US we had the super

[Tim Y]

2nd second call maidens, , or a firster but no odds on the FOUR but this one with the rest of the field's odds is perfect for an exotic "riding the coat tails" bet. If this one should trip and come in THIRD or meet a monster...the TRI would be huge even with the big public choice anchoring the wager to logic.

[clore1030]

Originally Posted by Tim Y

Way to go: BETWEEN US we had the super

I had the 4 and 7 in my top two EP ratings, I just picked the wrong one. I did have the 6 on top in BL/BL, only narrowly over the 7.

For the 7 though, I went back six races to get a pace line, and second guessed myself by preferring the recent activity of the 4.

[clore1030]

Originally Posted by Tim Y

2nd second call maidens, , or a firster but no odds on the FOUR but this one with the rest of the field's odds is perfect for an exotic "riding the coat tails" bet. If this one should trip and come in THIRD or meet a monster...the TRI would be huge even with the big public choice anchoring the wager to logic.

I'm just watching this one. The maiden races today are chock full of firsters, so I'll probably pass all of them.

[Tim Y]

SECOND CALL MAIDEN

At least the win bet worked!!!

[clore1030]

Originally Posted by Tim Y

SECOND CALL MAIDEN

At least the win bet worked!!!

Just playing my top two EP horses in each of the first two could have netted an easy $140 double.

I almost did play the second, but a call from the ex caused me to lose track of time.

I've got the 6 and the 1A looking to be up front in the third and they're 7 and 8/1 right now. This looks like a good race to split my wager.

[Tim Y]

Do me a favor as I need substantiation of a fact that I have long held but have not proved. PHILLY Lines come into New York looking unbeatable all the time and they crash and burn. See if you can find that same thing please?

[clore1030]

Originally Posted by Tim Y

Do me a favor as I need substantiation of a fact that I have long held but have not proved. PHILLY Lines come into New York looking unbeatable all the time and they crash and burn. See if you can find that same thing please?

Oh, i agree without even looking up any notes. A couple of weeks ago I made that comment when I had a horse in the feature that day that I could not accept because of his originating track. I was wrong on that occasion, but in the long run, such hesitance is rewarded.

I have similar problems with Monmouth, where even cheap horses cut 44 and change half-miles that are never equaled here on the NYC circuit.

In the case of today's third though, I will take a chance on the shipper.