Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

THE HAT · 08-20-2007, 04:02 PM

Saratoga Race Six

This race gave most of you trouble, so after I get my two horse I am going to analyze the race a little different to teach the way to make the final decision.

The Seven Eleven and Thirteen scratched. There are tandems that will help in the elimination of horses. The Two, ran in tandems and is slow, out. The One Three and Six are slow, out. The Eight was beaten by the Four, out. The Nine and Ten are from the same tandem and are slow, out. The Three and Twelve are Early, but are slower than the Four, out. This leaves the Four and Five as the main contenders. Now, how is the race going to run, Early, "or other than early?"

There are three horse that can run early in the race, the Tree, Four and Twelve. The three early horses are slower than the four, but will they have any effect on the Four? The Four needs at least a five length lead, on the turf, in order to go wire-to-wire. The Three and the Twelve can not win the race, but can prevent the Four for getting the lead he needs to win. Look at the third running line on the Four. Looking at the third running lines show what happens if the four horse does not get a comfortable lead. He can be caught.

The horse most likely to catch him is the Five. Look at positions and beaten lengths .The Five will be coming like a jet. This race will run "other than early" and the Five will win the race.

08-20-2007, 04:02 PM	#117
THE HAT Grade 2 Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 86	Saratoga Race Six This race gave most of you trouble, so after I get my two horse I am going to analyze the race a little different to teach the way to make the final decision. The Seven Eleven and Thirteen scratched. There are tandems that will help in the elimination of horses. The Two, ran in tandems and is slow, out. The One Three and Six are slow, out. The Eight was beaten by the Four, out. The Nine and Ten are from the same tandem and are slow, out. The Three and Twelve are Early, but are slower than the Four, out. This leaves the Four and Five as the main contenders. Now, how is the race going to run, Early, "or other than early?" There are three horse that can run early in the race, the Tree, Four and Twelve. The three early horses are slower than the four, but will they have any effect on the Four? The Four needs at least a five length lead, on the turf, in order to go wire-to-wire. The Three and the Twelve can not win the race, but can prevent the Four for getting the lead he needs to win. Look at the third running line on the Four. Looking at the third running lines show what happens if the four horse does not get a comfortable lead. He can be caught. The horse most likely to catch him is the Five. Look at positions and beaten lengths .The Five will be coming like a jet. This race will run "other than early" and the Five will win the race.