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-   -   Wet Track opportunites (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4776)

jms62 11-13-2008 05:02 PM

Wet Track opportunites
 
1 Attachment(s)
Once upon a time I used to avoid wet tracks but now I relish the opportunity. Now one of my favorite plays is to look for Early horses that disappear on the board and even the software under wet conditions.. The track needs to have a profile of providing winners under such conditions. Aqueduct and Philly certainly do.. Todays 5th, at Aqu, Top 3 EPR finish 1-2-3 and trigger boxcar Win, Exacta and Trifecta payouts. Didn't catch it all but enough of it...

jms62 11-13-2008 05:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tim Y (Post 43021)
Two horses go to post as 2nd call maiden possibilities: one is 1/2 and the other is 30/1....Which one would you take?

My style of play has changed... I am looking for higher priced horses and will accept a lower hit rate. The only way I bet favorites is in a sequential bet in order to survive the leg... As far as the example you present, I would need to have profiled the track but to your point I would certainly bet the 30/1 if the profile showed early horses fair well at the track. One of the best parts of the software/methodolgy is you are somewhat mechanical in that you would think nothing of putting down coin on a 30-1 thumbing your nose at the public. If he runs last so be it because another one will be around shortly and the program is going to get you enough bombs over time. Conventional handicappers do not have this ability... I've had many friends look at me when I tell them who I like and say things as "Yeah but he's 30-1"...

Tim I replied to your post but it is now gone

Tim Y 11-13-2008 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 43024)
Tim I replied to your post but it is now gone

I put it in the wrong category so I moved it.

RichieP 11-13-2008 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 43020)
Once upon a time I used to avoid wet tracks but now I relish the opportunity. Now one of my favorite plays is to look for Early horses that disappear on the board and even the software under wet conditions.. The track needs to have a profile of providing winners under such conditions. Aqueduct and Philly certainly do.. Todays 5th, at Aqu, Top 3 EPR finish 1-2-3 and trigger boxcar Win, Exacta and Trifecta payouts. Didn't catch it all but enough of it...

Awesome hit Jim! Wow now that is A#:1:
:D

Very nice!

Tim Y 11-13-2008 06:21 PM

Top EPR's in all the time at AQU,even MORE So when they move to the inner

Philly, when it is cold, same thing sometimes ridiculously so

albatross 11-14-2008 09:54 AM

Love them longshots
 
Nice touch price is the only way to beat the game.11-14 have some going turk to dirt off trk hope one of joe conte angle's work's good for me.Watch probably jinx them but hope for price

Rverge 11-14-2008 04:37 PM

Nice hit jm!!!

Charlie D 11-14-2008 08:02 PM

5 Attachment(s)
Very nice hit Jim

Jim "The Hat" Bradshaw's 5 Step Approach likes Wet Track too

Charlie D 11-14-2008 08:04 PM

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and here's one for the Match Up teacher

THE BOMB

RichieP 11-15-2008 03:58 AM

2 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlie D (Post 43061)
Very nice hit Jim

Jim "The Hat" Bradshaw's 5 Step Approach likes Wet Track too


OMG!

What a cool way to wake up Charlie. :1:

Mr Bradshaw's gotta be loving that betting sheet. That is terrific! He would also definitely have given you a SERIOUS tip of the old Stetson so please allow me to help him out a bit!


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