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12-17-2011, 10:08 AM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Answers
Hi
I noticed that you used a line that was from 111 days ago. ( Please see the attached file). I always assumed that you don't go deeper then 90 days but maybe I'm wrong. Your Not wrong My answer is sometimes I do I try not to use lines over 90 days ago but sometimes I do use them If a horse is running in regular intervals at least 30 days but there are non comparable distances and surfaces or the trainer puts the horse in a race way too high for its class I will go to a line thats still best of the last three but in some cases the line will be over 90 days What is your normal criteria for this. I know you will go 3 lines and 90 days in most races. and look for like lines. Occassionally, you'll go 4 lines deep looking for a useable line. Yes According to the Sartin rule you can use a 5th place finish at no more then 7.5 lengths Occassionally, you'll go 4 lines deep looking for a useable line. I am troubled by this .. There is no such rule about a 5th place finish that I know of Position is not so IMPORTANT in the Methodology You use Sartin programs that were such that you had to hand enter the pacelines correct? Did you ever have to enter position calls ?? No not any I have ever seen The programs rate the lines you enter against the dream race or pace of race its not the pace of horse Its which horse runs best against the Pace of Race A horse could be 5th beaten by 3 lengths Horse don't run in linear order. Many races are won by heads necks 1/2 lengths so are place and show and 4th place finishes photos Lets look at it this way here are two horses Horse AAA runs against a pace of 22 44.4 and 109 and has beaten lengths of 2.5 2.5 3.5 5 and position 2 2 3 5 Horse BBB could finished 3rd beaten 4 lengths against a slow pace of 22.4 45.4 and 110 with a line 2,5 3 3.5 4 2 2 3 3 so in this case is position or Pace of Race more important lets see Horse AAA has 171.57 Total energy Horse BBB has 169.14 Total energy Now run these two in thoromation and Horse AAA wins easy so is the 5th place finish a part of the calculations No Going Back to the first screen I used line 3 because thats the line that the program used I did this race in the post follow up #70 era of the Methodology The sythesis-Validator era That is my choice If I had used the guidelines in the Paceline manual I woul have used line 1 or 2 Last edited by Bill V.; 12-17-2011 at 10:12 AM. |
12-17-2011, 12:34 PM | #2 |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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Hi Bill,
Thank you for the answers. I really appreciate it. You have been very helpful. |
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