Sunday Stakes Woodbine Bold Venture

[Bill V.]

Originally Posted by admin

Hi Jeff

I did the race
My contenders are 2 4 3 1

The 2 is the top early
11.0 on the e/l and #1 total energy

I used the last line for horse 2
I see the 2 and 4 as my win bets
Hope you have a great day

Bill

Thank You Charlie
That works very well
I appreciate all the skills of each of the people here
I work races in kind of a strange way
Problem is I wrote my contenders as 2 4 3 1
However taken the fact that my readouts were really 2 4 1 3
I would still bet the 2 and 4
My readouts on the BLBL said the 2 was the better of the 1 - 2 match up.
I had no way to say the 1 and 2 would both fade and the race would go other than early. I do not have that skill.
I can only use my own ideas of what the readouts show
So basically I let the BLBL do the match up

So #2 beats #1 and if the 2 also fades then I go to horse 4
my win bets are 2 and 4

For years I have worked races this way BLBL Tier 1 2 3 are very equal
I bet two of them, I very rarely bet EP 1 horses that are tier 3 or 4.
So out went the horse #1 For me to bet a tier 4 horse I need a #1 LP and a very good VDC readout
If I kept records of my winners VDC readouts I would see very few 4th tier
winners

I am very impressed with your match up skills

Thanks
Bill

[Charlie D]

I had #3 in 4th spot, but chucked it because i thought he would be out run and unable to malke up the deficit

#4 was the OTE horse who i thought would run down the #2 Early

[Charlie D]

Thanks Bill


As stated i'm not being critical

Todays race shape will re-appear in the future, the same thing will probably happen and it is this i'm trying to point out



Too much Early, kills Early late on, race goes to OTE horses, chuck Earlies from winning scenario

Got winner in top two. hopefully ~

[Charlie D]

Too much Early kills late on

#1 in Blue

#3 in Red


Notice how much more #1 decelerates because it's using more Energy Early than the #3

[Charlie D]

Typo ~ #2 in Blue

[Bill V.]

Charlie
Thanks for listening to my method
I take bits of what I can and in time I might be able to
"see" the race better

I'll get there

Bill

[Charlie D]

May not always agree with them Bill, but I enjoy reading the thoughts and methods of others