|
Google Site Search | Get RDSS | Sartin Library | RDSS FAQs | Conduct | Register | Site FAQ | Members List | Today's Posts | Search |
RDSS Racing Decision Support System – The Modern Sartin Methodology |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
12-07-2009, 10:57 AM | #1 |
Grade 1 Aspiree
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
|
The Horse's Form Cycle
Everyone may have their own method to determine this ---As for myself
l look at the "Velocity screen" Total Energy in conjunction with the 2nd call#. Yes, I know you can easily see if the horse is improving or not just by eyeballing how it ran against the pace. But this gives me a give me a quick quantitative overview as to how the horse is performing over the last 3 or more races. For example: if the Total Energy #'s have been decreasing over the last 3 or more sessions and the time to get to the 2nd call has been increasing, I conclude that this horse is not in form. Conversely if the TE is increasing and the 2nd call (fps) have been decreasing then this horse is in form and is ready to win if it has not already done so. Anything in-between is a judgement call but at least these numbers give me some clue as to the horse's form cycle. For horses that are entered after a layoff I like to see if the horse worked out at least 5 furlongs within the past 2 weeks. I use 5F from a book written by William Scott, "How Will Your Horse Run Today". The book is out of print and I misplaced my copy but the author cited studies made (back in the 80's) regarding the high percentage of layoff horse's winning or running in the money with 5F workouts. I also read, "Commonsense Handicapping" by Dick Mitchell and he mentioned that it was the frequency of workouts that mattered most, not the distance. So it always comes down to, whatever works for you. Ernie |
|
|
Similar Threads | ||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
Items on BL BL screen and Pace Balance speed | CC Brown | RDSS | 19 | 03-28-2011 05:12 PM |
Daily Racing Form Abbreviated Race Conditions | For The Lead | Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum | 1 | 11-12-2009 03:15 AM |
The Match-Up After Six Months | mamojica | Matchup Discussion | 4 | 10-04-2009 10:53 PM |
Jim Bradshaw's 5 Step Approach to learning the Matchup | RichieP | Hat Check - How Can We Help You? | 1 | 05-25-2009 09:52 AM |
Wager Decision Form | Bill V. | Classic Sartin Programs - Support, Discussion | 6 | 12-31-2008 02:54 PM |