How best to match just using raw/original times and the entire past performances?

[Buzz]

Richie,

I got lost when you arrived at a number for Projected Pace.

How did you get those numbers? Would you please do the math "out loud?"

Also, how did you think the horses were going to run when you estimated the Projected Pace? How would you have called this race before the fact?

Lastly what was your reason for not including the #2 SS in the matchup.

Inquiring mind needs to know.

Thanks,
Buzz

[Buzz]

Here is a screen shot describing my "disconnect"

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by MIKE1121

I have not yet gone thru all the instructions concerning the match up, saying this I do see one pattern : horses who are at the back of the pack are usually thrown out.The most likely winner seems to be horses who can win with the lead or just off the lead ( 1 to 2 BL 1rst call). What situation needs to occur for a deep closer ( 8th, 9th position 10 or more BL 1rst call ) to be made the bet?.

Mike.

Great question Mike.

The horse you describe here should be avoided in virtually all races. I am going to make a separate thread showing an example where the horse you mention is the bet ok?

It is going to involve a horse that makes a "Power Move" from that deep position at 1st call and gains MULTIPLE positions between calls:
a) 1st call to 2nd call
b) 2nd call to stretch call

We want to avoid like the plague horses that move only from the stretch call to finish.

I will go into more detail in your thread about the Power Move.

Richie

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by Buzz

Richie,

I got lost when you arrived at a number for Projected Pace.

How did you get those numbers? Would you please do the math "out loud?"

Also, how did you think the horses were going to run when you estimated the Projected Pace? How would you have called this race before the fact?

Lastly what was your reason for not including the #2 SS in the matchup.

Inquiring mind needs to know.

Thanks,
Buzz

Projected pace looks like the #5 from it's last race - 46.3 - 111.4 (conv to 5ths)

The race to me looked to be won "early" by the 5 because the 1 didn't look fast enough to press early on. What was comforting was the fact that if something happened weird the 5 was also fast other than early.

The 2 is a slow turf horse - out

[Buzz]

Richie,

Sorry to bug you again but please explain how you thought this through?

"Projected pace looks like the #5 from it's last race - 46.3 - 111.4 (conv to 5ths)"

What do you mean by "looks like"? Where are you looking? Is there some logic that you are using that I am missing?

Honestly I have no clue how you arrived at this decision.

"The race to me looked to be won "early" by the 5 because..."

What does "looked to be" mean?

"the 1 didn't look fast enough to press early on. "

"What does "look" mean?

How much is "fast enough"?

Again I don't see how you are arriving at these decisions. I am not trying to dispute you. I am only trying to think this through using your logic so I can do it in the future on my own.

Thanks,
Buzz

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by Buzz

Richie,

Sorry to bug you again but please explain how you thought this through?

"Projected pace looks like the #5 from it's last race - 46.3 - 111.4 (conv to 5ths)"

What do you mean by "looks like"? Where are you looking? Is there some logic that you are using that I am missing?

Honestly I have no clue how you arrived at this decision.

"The race to me looked to be won "early" by the 5 because..."

What does "looked to be" mean?

"the 1 didn't look fast enough to press early on. "

"What does "look" mean?

How much is "fast enough"?

Again I don't see how you are arriving at these decisions. I am not trying to dispute you. I am only trying to think this through using your logic so I can do it in the future on my own.

Thanks,
Buzz

Excellent questions which will be answered honestly.

The words I used in that entire post were used on purpose and here is why.This forum represents Jim's concepts and as best I can do things HIS way of teaching me. The ONE thing I can promise everyone reading this forum is that ANYTHING I post is Jim's way without putting my own spin on things.

That last sentence is important because phrases like
"looks like"
"appears to be"
"doesn't look to be"

are EXACTLY what Jim would use when teaching me.He also did this with me from the beginning.

He wants our minds quiet(relaxed) and free of rigid things to look for when matching horses and races. I need to convey this to those wanting to learn.My choice of the phrases used was with purpose and if folks will TRUST in the process ongoing here they will benefit.

OK so what can be done NOW with the Aqueduct race posted here to help you while tying in with what I just posted?

THIS:

1) Get 10 minutes of totally quiet time set aside.

2) Read all my phrases quoted by Buzz first.

3) Go to the race pp's and begin scrolling the horses SLOWLY.Relax and just look:
a) Let your mind see who might go for the lead here.
b) Let your mind see who doesn't belong here (too slow)
c) Let your mind see who are the true contenders (FAST horses)
d) Let your mind see the ENTIRE horse's past performances
e) Let your mind see the ENTIRE horse's past performances

4) Close the past performances and look at the result chart.

5) Get up and walk away. Exercise is FINISHED. Do NOT return to the race. You do not have to. It is "stored" away already even if you do not think so.

This is Jim "The Hat" Bradshaw's Matchup.

[RichieP]

I'm playing Aqueduct on the phone with a paisan who runs a casino near here.

I loved 2 horses on the card man. I mean loved them.

As you will see I lost the first bet and cashed the 2nd one.To be honest the loss was an incorrect evaluation of the lines I stacked together.

I'll show both in case anyone wants to check them out.

Here is Aqueduct's 1st race where I loved and bet the #5 horse at 7/2.

[RichieP]

Here is the second spot play.


I loved and bet the #1 horse here.

2 call Fighter on multiple lines.

[emilio840]

Hi Richie. I also had the 2nd race from AQu today. Didn't the #2 horse have almost the same pattern as the #8 from PHA.

The 2 comes from the fastest pace of the race and he also has the best power line which comes from his last line. And also the race is going to run OTE because it is a ROUTE race and there is more than 1 sprinter in that race. And this fits his running style like a glove.

emilio

[lsosa54]

Originally Posted by RichieP

Here is the second spot play.


I loved and bet the #1 horse here.

2 call Fighter on multiple lines.

Rich: When did you feel comfortable - when you were up by 5, 12, or 17 3/4 lengths?! Nice job!