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02-12-2014, 01:22 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 125
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Tup r 1 feb 12. Is this horse an E or an S?
#2 GOGOGRACIE wonlast race W2W.
using that pl if its an E its behind at the1c and 2c so it can't win. if its an S its in great position to win the race as its FF overwhelms the field. I tried to copy and paste the PP[ pdf file] but it just doesn't work for me. any one out there have an opinion. |
02-12-2014, 02:19 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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not raw match up but
Hi
This is with adjusted phase 1 numbers but.. I would say no, based on just 1 w/w line this probably is not an early in today's race I projects about a 90 -91 EPR pace of race at the second call When Go Go went w/w she did it with a 83 EPR There are other horse who have been on the lead in the F1 and have run 90-91 eprs in those races |
02-12-2014, 03:36 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 125
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Hi bill
Tx for the reply. I understand that his EPR was not good enough to get the lead, but if he weren't an E type, then he could rally strongly from 3rd. He raced as a EP sitting second and had no rally but was able to pass the E horse and finished 2nd at a low price. I had decided he could only win as an E and since he couldn't get the lead, he couldn't win, so I passed the race. In general, I realize that if E's don't get the lead ,they don' t win :it's fairly simple. Obviously when a horse shows one win WTW and a bunch of mediocre races where he did passed some horses but didn't win or come really close. I guess we have to characterize him as an E and if there are horses with better EPRs and E style it won't win. |
02-12-2014, 05:05 PM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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hard
This is why i find the Match Up so hard
Horse like # 1 get a lead. on a most likely 91 EPR The 7 wins from off the pace dual of a 45 EP between the 1 and 2 Bill P1 ** Last edited by Bill V.; 02-12-2014 at 05:07 PM. |
02-12-2014, 05:29 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 125
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Hi bill unrelated question.
How were you able to post nice and clearly the chart. When I try it's gobbledygook Tx Barryt |
02-12-2014, 06:46 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Flint Hills in Kansas, formerly from Montana
Posts: 334
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I'm no Bill, but use your snipping tool to outline it, save it to your desktop, then add that file to your post using the full editable reply. Can't do it with the Quick reply mode.
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