Woodbine Oaks

[Hoof 11]

Woodbine Oaks

They’re calling for a heatwave on Sunday, and that means the track should slow down slightly.

I expect a moderate pace of 24 – 48 in the first two splits from the front runners 1-7-9. There should be pressure up front from a number of horses, but i’m having my doubts about a front runner walking away with this, and i believe this sets up nicely for a closer.

The three horses that have caught my attention are the 4 – 10 – 11. The 4 is my top pick in the race, and comes with some value at 20/1. All three of these filly’s are set to hit a peak effort, they are the only ones in the field that haven’t shown us an improvement over last season’s ceiling.

A contentious and chaotic race, and an opportunity for some value.

Early – 1-7-9

Form – 4-10-11-1

Barn – 4-5-10

8.5F Final Time – 2-4-9-12

Stakes Winner – 1-4-9-11-12

Recency – 4-5-6-7-8-9-12

Total Energy – 9 / 2-4-8-10-12

Clocker – 1-3-4-5-6-7-10-11-12