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07-06-2012, 05:16 PM | #221 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,854
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Dorian, welcome back into the saddle - glad you are recovered!
Fee money at Arlington - do tell ... Ted
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08-03-2012, 04:57 PM | #222 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 259
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"One Rating Does Not Make A Contender" from as far back as you care to read or listen. One hit wonders as they were described are just that.
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"Success consists of simply getting back up one more time than you fall" |
08-03-2012, 07:26 PM | #223 | |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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confirmation
Quote:
Its not always this easy but it is so important to look for a confirming pace line. Here is a winning horse Here is one of my July contest selections that won This horse won Race 9 at Saratoga on 7/21 It paid $8.50 I picked this horse for this sample because when I used to send Doc race results he always asked for races were the winner paid $9.00 or more so I'm close with this one, just off a few cents. # 2 Shrewd One is a consistant horse. It only has 3 wins but 8 places and he almost always runs a Plus race. I have marked my plus's on both the pp's and the TPR/Early Late readouts I used line 1 for this horse Its a very good line , The thing that makes this horse a good contender is I have a few other good pacelines that confirm line 1 In almost all its plus races, notice how similar its running pattern on the E/L is. Notice all the plus races are clustered near the center line the exceptions are race 4 at GP and the two races at Belmont in October, one of which was on the turf When I see a horse in the top 3 BLBL with good odds and these kind of confirmation pacelines I know I have a good contender |
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08-03-2012, 07:46 PM | #224 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 259
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Bill nice job and that was a perfect example of multiple factors putting you on a solid contender. Add to this when the horse matches up well with the track profile and I call them giggle races, that is your giggling all the way to the windows.
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"Success consists of simply getting back up one more time than you fall" |
08-04-2012, 01:20 PM | #225 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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Bill,
Well Done Tell Mom and Dad hi Jeff |
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