The "Shilee" horse - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 08-01-2006, 09:17 AM

What do you do when the horse you figure as the projected pacesetter also has run an opening quarter mile that nobody in the field has PLUS he did it while FIGHTING for the lead ???

Answer: you run to the window and trust the matchup

here are the pp's for the whole field from last night at Mnr - race 5 at 8f

RichieP · 08-01-2006, 09:29 AM

the 1 horse was the only scratch in the race.

here are the race conditions and the pp's for the 2 horse

RichieP · 08-01-2006, 09:31 AM

the 3 and 4 horse

RichieP · 08-01-2006, 09:32 AM

the 5 and 6

RichieP · 08-01-2006, 09:33 AM

the 7 and 8 " Shilee"

RichieP · 08-01-2006, 09:34 AM

the 9 and 10

RichieP · 08-01-2006, 09:38 AM

projecting pace is easy. the 8 "Shilee" from the last race at 8.3f

1c - 48.3
2c - 115.0
ft - 147 - to get to a mile time subtract 4.2 to get us to 142.3 for 8f

RichieP · 08-01-2006, 09:40 AM

ok using that pace lets start tossing the field

the 2 and 3 are history

RichieP · 08-01-2006, 09:45 AM

ok let's deal with the 4 one on one - he shows a fast pace to 2c BUT then completely folds tent man.

Now LOOK at the first quarter mile for him - 24.1 first by a head

LOOK at the 8 "Shilee" first quarter - 23.4 in first by a head - He's FIGHTING in a much faster time than the 4 PLUS NO horse in the field can match this quarter forget about even having any kind of ability to fight.

Shilee also went on and drew out after doing this fighting. end of story

RichieP · 08-01-2006, 09:47 AM

the 5 and 6

08-01-2006, 09:17 AM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	The "Shilee" horse What do you do when the horse you figure as the projected pacesetter also has run an opening quarter mile that nobody in the field has PLUS he did it while FIGHTING for the lead ??? Answer: you run to the window and trust the matchup here are the pp's for the whole field from last night at Mnr - race 5 at 8f __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

08-01-2006, 09:29 AM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	the 1 horse was the only scratch in the race. here are the race conditions and the pp's for the 2 horse Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

08-01-2006, 09:31 AM	#3
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	the 3 and 4 horse Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

08-01-2006, 09:32 AM	#4
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	the 5 and 6 Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

08-01-2006, 09:33 AM	#5
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	the 7 and 8 " Shilee" Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

08-01-2006, 09:34 AM	#6
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	the 9 and 10 Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

08-01-2006, 09:38 AM	#7
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	projecting pace is easy. the 8 "Shilee" from the last race at 8.3f 1c - 48.3 2c - 115.0 ft - 147 - to get to a mile time subtract 4.2 to get us to 142.3 for 8f Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

08-01-2006, 09:40 AM	#8
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	throwing out the non contenders ok using that pace lets start tossing the field the 2 and 3 are history Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

08-01-2006, 09:45 AM	#9
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	ok let's deal with the 4 one on one - he shows a fast pace to 2c BUT then completely folds tent man. Now LOOK at the first quarter mile for him - 24.1 first by a head LOOK at the 8 "Shilee" first quarter - 23.4 in first by a head - He's FIGHTING in a much faster time than the 4 PLUS NO horse in the field can match this quarter forget about even having any kind of ability to fight. Shilee also went on and drew out after doing this fighting. end of story Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

08-01-2006, 09:47 AM	#10
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	the 5 and 6 Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

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