Projecting Pacelines - Pace and Cap

shoeless · 05-19-2006, 03:49 PM

Howdy Jim,
I am probably one of the few here using the good ole DRF to
pick my pacelines from.I really dont care for those Trackmaster adjusted
numbers.How do you handle a situation where the projected time is coming
from a faster track than where a lot of the horses have been running at.The
projected times could knock out serious contenders.Take for example the 9th
tomorrow at Pimlico in a 6 fur stakes you have horse coming from Gulfstream,Aquaduct and Churchill which are faster tracks than the ones coming from Laurel and Pimlico.Jeff

THE HAT · 05-19-2006, 05:35 PM

Jeff,
You are correct, when you made the statement concerning a fast shipper,
I haven't seen the Pimlco card for tomorrow, but I would use, the horse that has run the best against the fastest pace in his last race, at today's track, and at today's distance.

Jim

shoeless · 05-19-2006, 09:18 PM

Jim,It's a 7 horse field and you have 4 such horses shipping in from faster tracks would you more than likely pass the race .Jeff

shoeless · 05-20-2006, 09:51 AM

Jim,What if it's a 6 fur race and the horse that you find to set the pace at the first two calls did it a 7 fur would you still use it?Also what would you do with the final time if no 6 fur horse can meet those 1st two calls.I think if Im not mistaken on a tape you and Tim Mc Cray (i think)talked about how to adjust the distances.Jeff

05-19-2006, 03:49 PM	#1
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,151	Projecting Pacelines Howdy Jim, I am probably one of the few here using the good ole DRF to pick my pacelines from.I really dont care for those Trackmaster adjusted numbers.How do you handle a situation where the projected time is coming from a faster track than where a lot of the horses have been running at.The projected times could knock out serious contenders.Take for example the 9th tomorrow at Pimlico in a 6 fur stakes you have horse coming from Gulfstream,Aquaduct and Churchill which are faster tracks than the ones coming from Laurel and Pimlico.Jeff

05-19-2006, 05:35 PM	#2
THE HAT Grade 2 Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 86	Jeff, You are correct, when you made the statement concerning a fast shipper, I haven't seen the Pimlco card for tomorrow, but I would use, the horse that has run the best against the fastest pace in his last race, at today's track, and at today's distance. Jim

05-19-2006, 09:18 PM	#3
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,151	Jim,It's a 7 horse field and you have 4 such horses shipping in from faster tracks would you more than likely pass the race .Jeff

05-20-2006, 09:51 AM	#4
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,151	Jim,What if it's a 6 fur race and the horse that you find to set the pace at the first two calls did it a 7 fur would you still use it?Also what would you do with the final time if no 6 fur horse can meet those 1st two calls.I think if Im not mistaken on a tape you and Tim Mc Cray (i think)talked about how to adjust the distances.Jeff