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Old 10-25-2018, 07:12 PM   #1
Bill V.
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race 7 SA Starter Handicap

Starter Handicap Race 7 Santa Anita
horses that have started for $16000 or less since May 1 2017

Phase 1

First off last line TPR
5 6 2 7 4 1 3

My notes

Horse 1 Router looks tough for this race
as her EPR is so low it probably will hurt her LPR
as she runs with the sprinters

Horse 2 Line 1 , comes back after 5 weeks freshening

Horse 3 Line 1 Last line is a + race but 20/1

Horse 4 Line 4 85 days ago + race excuse line 1,2,3 routes

Horse 5 Line 1 is a + race but 60 days ago

Horse 6 Line 1 is a + pace line 54 days ago

Horse 7 has not run since Del Mar 54 days ago
she was beaten badly by horse 6 in that race

I will go with 5 and 6

1 possibly under these

Wish me luck I have been out of it for awhile Good to be home

Last edited by Bill V.; 10-25-2018 at 07:19 PM. Reason: added top 5 TPR line 1 totals
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Old 10-25-2018, 07:21 PM   #2
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Results

The 1 ran well to place at big odds but the 5 and 6 let me down

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Old 10-25-2018, 08:25 PM   #3
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Good way to shake off that rust Bill after getting out of the hospital. Look at this as speed to the stretch.


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Old 10-26-2018, 04:07 AM   #4
For The Lead
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V. View Post
Starter Handicap Race 7 Santa Anita
horses that have started for $16000 or less since May 1 2017

Phase 1

First off last line TPR
5 6 2 7 4 1 3

My notes

Horse 1 Router looks tough for this race
as her EPR is so low it probably will hurt her LPR
as she runs with the sprinters

Horse 2 Line 1 , comes back after 5 weeks freshening

Horse 3 Line 1 Last line is a + race but 20/1

Horse 4 Line 4 85 days ago + race excuse line 1,2,3 routes

Horse 5 Line 1 is a + race but 60 days ago

Horse 6 Line 1 is a + pace line 54 days ago

Horse 7 has not run since Del Mar 54 days ago
she was beaten badly by horse 6 in that race

I will go with 5 and 6

1 possibly under these

Wish me luck I have been out of it for awhile Good to be home
Just as a reminder, a HANDICAP race can be a "Starter Handicap" for $3,500 or it could be a Grade 1 Handicap. They are based on the same premise.
With that in mind, the high weighted horse (#4) won the race.
There was a tie for second highest weighted (#1 & #7), they ran 2nd and 3rd.
The remaining contender would have been #5.
The idea is to use 3 and no more than 4 horses as contenders. And the only time you use 4 is when there is a tie like in this race today.
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Old 10-27-2018, 05:23 PM   #5
Bill V.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by For The Lead View Post
Just as a reminder, a HANDICAP race can be a "Starter Handicap" for $3,500 or it could be a Grade 1 Handicap. They are based on the same premise.
With that in mind, the high weighted horse (#4) won the race.
There was a tie for second highest weighted (#1 & #7), they ran 2nd and 3rd.
The remaining contender would have been #5.
The idea is to use 3 and no more than 4 horses as contenders. And the only time you use 4 is when there is a tie like in this race today.
Thank You FTL

I totally forgot about it being a Starter Handicap
Sure as rain the top weights were the contenders
and the high weight won

Thank you for this lesson
Next time I will be more alert

Best to you
Bill
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