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12-24-2012, 07:59 AM | #41 | |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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Quote:
You are learning more each day and all you have to do is prioritize all the information you have absorbed and clear your head and get rid of all the BS. Only those that have an open mind and don't wear blinkers can do this. I've seen these die hard, fixated people that know everything but know nothing and have never accomplished anything meaningful, spout out meaningless information repeatedly on the various horse racing bulletin boards. The knowledge that you have would be the knowledge most people would like to acquire but they do not have the capability of thinking for themselves. They follow the herd or the crowd. So what are we dealing with? In my estimation, over 95% losers. How much can you learn from them? You have lots of knowledge and the natural instinct for the game that most players will never possess. It is natural to occasionally fall back and then come back strong. Just let it happen. You definitely have what it takes to be a winner. I look forward to and expect to soon see you in the winners circle. Merry Christmas to you and your family. Last edited by partsnut; 12-24-2012 at 08:09 AM. |
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12-24-2012, 09:49 AM | #42 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 992
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Bill H.,
Thank you for the kind words. I know you are going through some tough times now. Good to see you posting here. I pray that you and your wife have a great holiday. Jim |
12-24-2012, 10:43 AM | #43 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: New Jersey, USA
Posts: 471
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Boxcar's Handicapping Methodology
http://www.sportsbettingacumen.com/f...sp?FORUM_ID=11 It's not easy to learn but once you do, it's a big plus when used in tandem with whatever software you are using--especially at lower class tracks. Regards, Jon
__________________
"Free your mind and the profits will follow." |
12-24-2012, 10:49 AM | #44 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 878
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JS,
did you attend boxcar studies? |
12-24-2012, 10:57 AM | #45 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: New Jersey, USA
Posts: 471
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Yes. It took me a while, a long while, to internalize many of the angles and principles behind them but once I did, it was well worth the time and mind-numbing effort.
Jon
__________________
"Free your mind and the profits will follow." |
12-24-2012, 11:02 AM | #46 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Good race
Thanks for asking me Jeff
Jeff It was a pleasure to do your race. By reading the conditions, I saw a race with some horses that possibly have a positive over the others, Often just by the conditions and the life time and recent records the true condenders are just maybe 1,2 or 3 horses In your race It was non winners of two races in 1 year for 3 and up. Some advantages ? Who are the older horses ? Who is a 3 year old - although its so late in the year , Who has 1 win in 2012 ?, they all do but who does and how did they earn it? How recent was that 1 win ? Did anybody just win a NW1-Y and now is trying NW2-1 Its a big jump and sometimes it takes a second try. Who is the ML favorite ? Is there more than 1 horses who will take most of the win pool ? All these questions can be a ticket to putting only true condenders into the program. and finding a race woth betting Bill |
12-24-2012, 12:41 PM | #47 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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Bill,
Actually I have been looking at race conditions ever since Davidowitz's book Betting Thoroughbreds the original edition came out.Remember I first got my feet wet in racing 45 years ago at CT where you had better know those conditions.Back then I had to save the racing forms because the conditions were only in the charts.Also in the early P&C days before FTL Myself,Pino and Jon were the only ones preaching about conditioned races. Anyway still appreciate your input Jon, Thanks for posting that link and glad to see you back Jim, Dont forget us when you hit the big one |
12-24-2012, 02:31 PM | #48 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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Bill,
If you dont have Davidowitz's book you really should get it just for that chapter Edge in Class.The purses are outdated but still gives you a good way of looking at it. Jeff |
12-24-2012, 02:44 PM | #49 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Thanks
Thanks Jeff
I agree you are very good with the lessons from Davowitz book I just saw it Saturday at the Carlsbad library I should have taken it out I have Quinns Handicapper's Condition Book, Which Doc recommends to read BTW I have not looked at the Quinn book for awhile but each time I do I pick up a few more lessons But the best teacher is experience Going back after races are run and looking at the winner and matching that horse to the condition of the race is helping me and also Paying total atttention to FTL's races is really helping me Bill |
12-24-2012, 02:58 PM | #50 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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Bill,
Thanks.Not all that great at some of the alw coditions but I tend to stick to the cheaper claiming events. Jeff |
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