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Old 07-12-2020, 12:21 PM   #1
rdiam
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BEL Full Card 7/12/20 Mandatory Payouts Today

BEL Full Card 7/12/20 Mandatory Payouts Today, including $477,409 p6 starting with r4 at 2:09 pm EDT

NOTE: p6 sequence very chaotic, chance for good payoff, but these races are not easy:

r1: As 1-4-5, Bs 3, Cs 6, Xs 2: chalky, 5 needs the lead and should get it, 1 will press her and can win it runs back to last race, 4 has positive jock switch to Jose Ortiz, 3 will close

r2: As 6-8, Bs 4-5-7, Cs 2-3, Xs 1: chaos, six of eight FTS, 6 ran well in debut, has good closing kick, 8 comes from top barn, 4,5,7 all show quality breeding

r3: As 6-7, Bs 4, Cs 2-8, Xs 1-6: predictable, 6 adds blinkers and drops to state-bred claimer, 7 will press early pace, 4 is lone early and should try to steal on the lead

r4: As 3-10, Bs 2-9-12, Cs 5-7, Xs 4-6-11-13: chaos, no one wants lead, 3 has been working well and should close, was just gelded and switches to Castellano, 10 been working well can can win if runs back to last, 2 has early speed, been working well, takes blinkers off, may be value play, 9 gets jock switch to Irad Ortiz, 12 is 2ts and second time lasix

r5: As 1-11, Bs 2-6-8-9, Cs 4-10, Xs 5-7: chaos, lots of early speed, 11 needs the lead and has a closing kick, Irad knows how to this type, 1 gets positive switch to Castellano, 2 should close on fast early pace, 6 part of fast early pace from Ward barn, 8 will also close and has hot jockey/trainer combo, 9 just claimed by Rice and switches to Lezcano

r6: As 2-8, Bs 1-4-10, Cs 7-12-13, Xs 3-5-6-9: chaos, no one wants lead, 8 will close with Castellano, 2 also closes well, 1 can win if runs back to June 5 race, 10 can win if runs back to last

r7: As 2-4-7, Bs 1-6-9-10, Xs 5-8: chaos, 2 and 6 in early pace duel, 4 makes switch to Irad Ortiz, 7 wins if runs back to last, 9 and 10 will close

r8: As 3-6-9, Bs 1-2-4-7, Xs 5-8-10: chaos no one wants lead, 6 switches to Irad and 2nd time Lasix, 3 wins if runs back to last, 9 also can win if runs back to last, 1 showing positive switch to Castellano, 2 will be closing, 4 been working well and is 12f specialist, 7 shows hot trainer/jockey combo,

r9: As 5-7, Bs 3-6, Cs 1-8-10, Xs 2-9-11-12: chaos, no one wants lead, 2 is second time Lasix, 7 gets switch to Irad Ortiz, 3 can win if runs back to last, 6 will close and may be value play

Horizontals today: using As for sure, will need to mix in Bs and maybe even Cs, high risk/high reward.

Good luck

Richard
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Old 07-12-2020, 12:36 PM   #2
mick
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Thank you, Richard. I keep seeing the word "chaos". Don't think it will be a chalky card.
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Old 07-12-2020, 12:41 PM   #3
rmath
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Good Luck

Good luck Rdiam.
I am passing GP today and spending the day with my children and our great granddaughter.
Gp s card is terrible, R 7 is a 2 yr old MSW with 7 FTS horses.
Too risky for me.
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Old 07-12-2020, 01:18 PM   #4
Mitch44
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Best of luck on a very tough carded P6. Most of these races have 3 to 5 contenders, chaos and probably some prices. Got to be in it to win it through.


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Old 07-12-2020, 04:02 PM   #5
Lt1
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Good luck Richard.
Tim
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Old 07-12-2020, 05:54 PM   #6
rdiam
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Recap

Recap:

r1: A(4)-A(1): $1 ex $6.40

r2: X(1)-B(4): complete miss with a FTS who had decent workouts

r3: B(4)-C(2): $1 ex $27.00

r4: C(5)-A(3): no win or ex as I do not go that deep for indiv race

r5: B(6)-A(11): $1 ex $75.25

r6: B(1)-C(7): no win or ex as I do not use that combo for ex

r7: A(2)-B(10): $1 ex $40.50

r8: B(7)-A(6): $1 ex $22.10

r9: B(3)-A(5): $1 ex $18.50

p6 was 1 A, 4 Bs, and 1 C: paid $29,954.70 for $0.20, I did not have it since did not include the C in r4. Nice score if you hit.

Richard
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