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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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08-15-2014, 10:38 PM | #1 |
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,866
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Arlington Beverly D G1 Stakes (8/16/2014)
Race 9 - Beverly D Stakes - G1
We apply the same relative analysis re the European horses and their TrackMaster Speed and Race Class ratings as in the Arlington Million (see --> here), and arrive at this: Betting Options Win: 2-11 Exacta Box: 2-11-4 Good luck/skill! Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 08-15-2014 at 10:46 PM. |
08-16-2014, 12:36 PM | #2 |
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Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
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I agree. Using The Hat's marathon method the 2 and 5 have two of the fastest mile times at 133.8 with Real Solution, the DQ'd winner from last year posting 133.6 and 133.2 mile times from his last and 4th back. Closing running style could hurt due to lack of early speed. Hard to tell where the Euros settle in their races. I suspect that since the 2 and 3 have rarely finished in the 2nd half of their fields that they both press moderate to slow paces which I expect here.
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08-16-2014, 03:45 PM | #3 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
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Oops, my bad. This was supposed to have been a commentary on the Million, not the Beverly D.
Quote:
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08-16-2014, 05:40 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
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Any last thoughts from the assembled multitude at Saratoga?
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08-16-2014, 06:19 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,042
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Ted, good call on the 2!
Mike |
08-16-2014, 06:50 PM | #6 | |
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Location: New-York, NY
Posts: 129
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Quote:
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Paul |
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08-16-2014, 07:24 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,042
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Ted actually had the 4 not the 5 in the exa, the reason I Know I had a 5 dollar box with the 4. but it worked. Nice score!!
Had the 2 $20 on the nose Thanks, Ted!! |
08-16-2014, 08:53 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: New-York, NY
Posts: 129
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I was in a rush to play...and was thinking of Betting the 2 and 11 to win...then I noticed that the #5 was the favorite at a minute or so to post, and had a very good trainer...so I just made the bet, hoping that the #2 or #11 would beat the favorite...without even realizing that #4 was the other horse that Ted had suggested. Anyway...sometimes a mistake happened for a good reason...and it all worked out. Thanks again Ted
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Paul |
08-16-2014, 09:24 PM | #9 |
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Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
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Paul, Love to see pace and cap members making money!!
Mike |
08-16-2014, 09:53 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: New-York, NY
Posts: 129
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Mike, I agree with you. I would love to see every Pace & Cap member making money. Ted has been feeling very generous lately. I still remember his big givaway on the "Queen's Plate Day" at Woodbine a few weeks ago. I'm gonna look at the Saratoga's card for Sunday, to see if if I can carry on the winning streak
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Paul |
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